Heat vs Wizards Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 8

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FSUN | MNMT

The Miami Heat visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 2:00 pm in Washington, D.C., DC.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Heat vs Wizards Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 29-23 against the spread, while the Wizards are 22-29 against the spread.

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Heat vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Wizards vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Wizards.

Wizards vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 away games (+17.75 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 40 away games (+17.60 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.90 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 games (+13.50 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)

Wizards Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Washington Wizards have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 35 games (+17.70 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (+11.95 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Washington Wizards have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.90 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.70 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 24 games (+7.25 Units / 29% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 29-23 (+3.7 Units / 6.35% ROI).

• 27-26 against the Moneyline (-0.8 Units / -0.95% ROI)
• 27-25 against the Over for game total points (-0.5 Units / -0.86% ROI)
• 25-27 against the Under for game total points (-4.7 Units / -8.06% ROI)

Washington Wizards Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 22-29 (-9.85 Units / -17.57% ROI).

• 14-37 against the Moneyline (+5.5 Units / 10.55% ROI)
• 27-24 against the Over for game total points (+0.6 Units / 1.07% ROI)
• 24-27 against the Under for game total points (-5.7 Units / -10.16% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Wizards:

• The Washington Wizards have only covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 40 games at home (-23.25 Units / -51% ROI)
• The Washington Wizards have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 40 games at home (-19.35 Units / -46% ROI)
• The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 40 games at home (-18.31 Units / -43% ROI)
• The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-15.72 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Washington Wizards have only covered the 2H Spread in 16 of their last 40 games at home (-11.18 Units / -24% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 40 games (-24.95 Units / -48% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 40 games (-22.30 Units / -48% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.70 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 45 games (-16.69 Units / -27% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 away games (-15.50 Units / -34% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Keys to Winning for the Washington Wizards
• Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Washington Wizards
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Washington Wizards Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats
• Washington Wizards Defensive stats

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Heat were 10-1 (.909) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .762

The Heat are 29-5 (.853) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .760

The Heat were 28-14 (.667) when they win the turnover margin in the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Heat are 47-9 (.839) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .706

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Wizards are 20-61 (.247) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Wizards are winless (0-5) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

The Wizards are 23-106 (.178) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Wizards were 3-40 (.070) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 10.6 fast break points per game (549 points/52 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Heat have averaged 27.6 points in the paint per game (1,434 points/52 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.1

The Heat averaged 1.19 points per shot (1,213 points/1,016 shots) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Heat had an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (788 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Wizards averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (748 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards averaged 17.6 fast break points per game (1,442 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Wizards averaged 28.4 points in the paint per game (2,330 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (812 blocks/216 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (407 blocks/108 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards allowed 16.4 second chance points per game (1,345 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards allowed 17.5 second chance points per game (716 points/41 games) at home in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Wizards have allowed 17.1 second chance points per game (854 points/50 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.1

The Wizards allowed 60.3 points in the paint per game (2,474 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.9

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