Hornets vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 12

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on FDSE | FDCH

The Charlotte Hornets visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Atlanta, GA, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Hornets vs Hawks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hornets are 32-30 against the spread, while the Hawks are 31-34 against the spread.


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Hornets vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Charlotte Hornets O
Atlanta Hawks U

Hawks vs Hornets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Wednesday‘s game with 79.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hornets and Hawks.

Hawks vs Hornets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hornets will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 53.6% confidence.


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  • The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 3Q Spread in 49 of their last 79 games (+15.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 60 games (+14.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 78 games (+14.22 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 64 games (+12.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 53 of their last 81 games (+21.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 81 games (+19.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 39 of their last 60 games (+17.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 82 games (+16.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 60 games (+13.26 Units / 20% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 32-30 (-1.05 Units / -1.49% ROI).

  • 16-48 against the Moneyline (-15.7 Units / -22.33% ROI)
  • 23-40 against the Over for game total points (-21 Units / -29.83% ROI)
  • 40-23 against the Under for game total points (+14.7 Units / 20.88% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 31-34 (-6.4 Units / -8.96% ROI).

  • 31-34 against the Moneyline (+10.9 Units / 11.86% ROI)
  • 38-26 against the Over for game total points (+9.4 Units / 13.15% ROI)
  • 26-38 against the Under for game total points (-15.8 Units / -22.1% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 83 games (-33.55 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 83 games (-27.20 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 84 games (-21.00 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 26 of their last 67 games (-20.13 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 83 games (-19.65 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 80 games (-38.10 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 80 games (-27.55 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 80 games (-25.88 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 75 games (-23.93 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 80 games (-23.90 Units / -26% ROI)

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Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Hornets were winless (0-15) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385

The Hornets are 6-21 (.222) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Hornets were 2-26 (.071) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Hornets are 6-42 (.125) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .390

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Hawks are 8-3 (.727) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

The Hawks were 14-20 (.412) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Hawks are 25-35 (.417) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Hawks are 10-23 (.303) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .535

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 1.17 points per shot (6,742 points/5,760 shots) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Hornets have an eFG% of 50% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Hornets are shooting 42% (2,448/5,760) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Hornets averaged 51.0 points per game (4,184 points/82 games) in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.2

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks shot 47% (3,529/7,584) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Hawks averaged 5.5 fast break points per game (454 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Hawks averaged 118.3 points per game (9,703 points/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Hawks have averaged 15.3 second chance points per game (2,251 points/147 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 35.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,242 rebounds/64 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Hornets averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,709 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hornets have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (293 blocks/64 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Hornets have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,951 rebounds/146 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,813 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hawks allowed an eFG% of 59% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Hawks have averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,286 rebounds/65 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4


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