Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 10, 2022, 5:34 PM
  • The Heat (10-11) are favorites vs. the Hornets (6-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Thursday, November 10, 2022 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSUN & BSSE

The Charlotte Hornets visit FTX Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Hornets vs Heat Over/Under is 214.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hornets are 4-8 against the spread, while the Heat are 2-9 against the spread.


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Hornets vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Charlotte Hornets+10.5 -110O 214.5 -110360
Miami Heat -10.5 -110U 214.5 -110-500

Heat vs Hornets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Thursday‘s game with 65% confidence.

Heat vs Hornets Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hornets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 53% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Hornets and Heat, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


  • Away – Positive ATS Trends
  • Home – Positive ATS Trends

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 4-8 (-4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Away Moneyline Record against the Moneyline (Away ML Units Units / Away ML ROI ROI)
  • Away Record Over against the Over for game total points (Away Over Units Units / Away Over ROI ROI)
  • Away Under Record against the Under for game total points (Away Under Units Units / Away Under ROI ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 2-9 (-7.9 Units / -65.29% ROI).

  • Home Moneyline Record against the Moneyline (Home ML Units Units / Home ML ROI ROI)
  • Home Over Record against the Over for game total points (Home Over Units Units / Home Over ROI ROI)
  • Home Under Record against the Under for game total points (Home Under Units Units / Home Under ROI ROI)
  • Home – Negative ATS Trends
  • Away – Negative ATS Trends

Jump to:

Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Hornets were 21-14 (.600) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

The Hornets are 9-12 (.429) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Hornets were 7-12 (.368) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .481

The Hornets were 23-4 (.852) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .749

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Heat were 29-2 (.935) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .749

The Heat were 27-3 (.900) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .772

The Heat are 29-8 (.784) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

The Heat are 60-15 (.800) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

Injury Report: Heat vs. HornetsThursday‘s Game, Nov. 10

  • Nikola Jovic (Heat): Jovic is QUESTIONABLE for Wednesday’s (Nov. 30) game against Boston.
  • Jamal Cain (Heat): Cain is PROBABLE for Wednesday’s (Nov. 30) game against Boston.
  • Jimmy Butler (Heat): Butler is OUT for Wednesday’s (Nov. 30) game against Boston.
  • Caleb Martin (Heat): Martin is QUESTIONABLE for Wednesday’s (Nov. 30) game against Boston.
  • Haywood Highsmith (Heat): Highsmith is QUESTIONABLE for Wednesday’s (Nov. 30) game against Boston.
  • Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo has not played this season and is not believed to be closed to returning to action, according to Brian Windhorst of ESPN.
  • Dewayne Dedmon (Heat): Dedmon is QUESTIONABLE for Wednesday’s (Nov. 30) game against Boston.
  • Omer Yurtseven (Heat): The Heat announced that Yurtseven underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated at a later date.
  • Duncan Robinson (Heat): Robinson did not play in Sunday’s (Nov. 27) game against Atlanta.
  • Tyler Herro (Heat): Herro is QUESTIONABLE for Wednesday’s (Nov. 30) game against Boston.
  • LaMelo Ball (Hornets): Ball did not play in Monday’s (Nov. 28) game against Boston.
  • Gordon Hayward (Hornets): Hayward is dealing with a shoulder fracture and is out indefinitely, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.
  • Terry Rozier (Hornets): Rozier did not play in Monday’s (Nov. 28) game against Boston.
  • Cody Martin (Hornets): Martin has not played since Oct. 19 and no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Dennis Smith Jr. (Hornets): Smith Jr. did not play in Monday’s (Nov. 28) game against Boston.

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (1,101 assists/ 482 TOs) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Hornets had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (251 assists/ 99 TOs) in close and late situations last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Hornets averaged 16.1 fast break points per game (1,308 points/81 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Hornets have averaged 13.8 assists per game (1,101 assists/80 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.7

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 42.9 points in the paint per game (3,476 points/81 games) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.0

The Heat shot 39% from three (562/1,461) on the road last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Heat averaged 108.1 points per game (7,781 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Heat averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (1,115 turnovers/81 games) last season — tied for 3rd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 8.9 steals per game (683 steals/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Hornets have averaged 33.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,692 rebounds/81 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Hornets have averaged 8.6 steals per game (695 steals/81 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Hornets averaged 8.6 steals per game (695 steals/81 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 3.2 blocks per game (260 blocks/81 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (260 blocks/81 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (134 blocks/40 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.5

The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (277 blocks/77 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.