Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 12, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Heat (2-5) are -10.5 favorites vs. the Hornets (3-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 212.5 points
  • Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSUN & BSSE

The Charlotte Hornets visit FTX Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Miami.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Hornets vs Heat Over/Under is 213.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hornets are 5-8 against the spread, while the Heat are 2-10 against the spread.


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Hornets vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Charlotte Hornets+9.5 -110O 213.5 -110340
Miami Heat -9.5 -110U 213.5 -110-450

Heat vs Hornets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Saturday‘s game with 72.8% confidence.

Heat vs Hornets Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hornets will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Hornets and Heat, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 52 of their last 83 games (+16.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 60 games (+14.92 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 40 of their last 65 games (+13.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 39 away games (+12.09 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 37 away games (+11.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 53 of their last 84 games (+18.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 56 of their last 91 games (+16.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 62 of their last 100 games (+12.65 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 3Q Spread in 58 of their last 100 games (+11.26 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+9.65 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 5-8 (-3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI).

  • 3-10 against the Moneyline (-2.05 Units / -15.07% ROI)
  • 6-7 against the Over for game total points (-1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI)
  • 7-6 against the Under for game total points (+0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 2-10 (-9 Units / -68.18% ROI).

  • 5-7 against the Moneyline (-6.95 Units / -29.57% ROI)
  • 6-6 against the Over for game total points (-0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 6-6 against the Under for game total points (-0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 91 games (-28.46 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 95 games (-27.53 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 95 games (-25.28 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 39 of their last 91 games (-18.24 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 39 of their last 94 games (-18.15 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 83 games (-27.67 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 64 games (-23.79 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 65 games (-20.25 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 81 games (-18.25 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 68 games (-17.50 Units / -23% ROI)

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Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Hornets are 7-13 (.350) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .483

The Hornets are 11-14 (.440) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Hornets are 8-42 (.160) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .268

The Hornets are 4-22 (.154) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .256

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Heat are 29-13 (.690) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .576

The Heat are 22-10 (.688) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Heat are 24-1 (.960) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .799

The Heat are 30-11 (.732) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

Injury Report: Heat vs. HornetsSaturday‘s Game, Nov. 12

  • Dewayne Dedmon (Heat): The Heat have listed Dedmon as QUESTIONABLE for Saturday’s game (Nov. 12) against the Hornets.
  • Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo has not played this season and is not believed to be closed to returning to action, according to Brian Windhorst of ESPN.
  • Tyler Herro (Heat): The Heat have listed Herro as QUESTIONABLE for Saturday’s game (Nov. 12) against the Hornets.
  • Omer Yurtseven (Heat): Yurtseven has yet to play this season and no timetable for his return has been announced.
  • LaMelo Ball (Hornets): Ball is expected to miss the start of the regular season, according to Shams Charnia of The Athletic.
  • Gordon Hayward (Hornets): The Hornets have listed Hayward as OUT for Saturday’s game (Nov. 12) against the Heat.
  • Cody Martin (Hornets): Martin has not played since Oct. 19 and no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Dennis Smith Jr. (Hornets): The Hornets have listed Smith Jr. as QUESTIONABLE for Saturday’s game (Nov. 12) against the Heat.

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (1,262 assists/ 569 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Hornets have averaged 1.18 points per shot (1,407 points/1,196 shots) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Hornets have averaged 1.12 points per shot (629 points/561 shots) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Hornets have averaged 13.6 assists per game (1,262 assists/93 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.7

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat are shooting 87% from the free throw line (242/279) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Heat are shooting 45% (461/1,027) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Heat are shooting 37% from three (2,173/5,911) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Heat have averaged 51.7 points per game (620 points/12 games) in the second half this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.4

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have 791 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th most among NBA teams

The Hornets have averaged 33.2 defensive rebounds per game (5,517 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Hornets have averaged 5.3 blocks per game (246 blocks/46 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Hornets have blocked 74 shots this season — 6th most among NBA teams

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 2.8 blocks per game (33 blocks/12 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (147 blocks/49 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (293 blocks/93 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (579 blocks/165 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.