Hornets vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 24, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Mavericks (36-37) are -13.5 favorites vs. the Hornets (23-50)
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Friday, March 24, 2023 at 8:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSSW & BSSE

The Charlotte Hornets visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Dallas.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Hornets vs Mavericks Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hornets are 32-40 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 28-42 against the spread.


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Hornets vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Charlotte Hornets+14.5 -110O 226.5 -115+700
Dallas Mavericks -14.5 -110U 226.5 -115-1100

Mavericks vs Hornets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Friday‘s game with 76.5% confidence.

Mavericks vs Hornets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Hornets and Mavericks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 68 games (+16.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 3Q Spread in 38 of their last 58 games (+16.32 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 57 games (+14.02 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 23 games (+12.50 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 27 games (+11.96 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 68 games (+9.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+8.93 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 38 games at home (+7.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.13 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 49 games at home (+6.20 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 32-40 (-12 Units / -14.75% ROI).

  • 23-51 against the Moneyline (-9.25 Units / -11.31% ROI)
  • 32-42 against the Over for game total points (-14.2 Units / -17.44% ROI)
  • 42-32 against the Under for game total points (+6.8 Units / 8.35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 28-42 (-18.15 Units / -22.63% ROI).

  • 36-37 against the Moneyline (-21.65 Units / -14.1% ROI)
  • 39-33 against the Over for game total points (+2.7 Units / 3.36% ROI)
  • 33-39 against the Under for game total points (-9.9 Units / -12.33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 64 games (-29.29 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 78 games (-25.20 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 88 games (-23.44 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 64 games (-22.50 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the Spread in 29 of their last 78 games (-21.55 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 52 games (-27.29 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 70 games (-26.75 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 80 games (-25.85 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 52 games (-25.01 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 67 games (-22.90 Units / -32% ROI)

Jump to:

Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Hornets are 5-25 (.167) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .469

The Hornets are 23-43 (.348) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Hornets are 10-24 (.294) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .530

The Hornets are 21-34 (.382) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Mavericks are 25-1 (.962) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .773

The Mavericks are 42-10 (.808) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .767

The Mavericks are 44-41 (.518) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Mavericks are 32-7 (.821) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .770

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. HornetsFriday‘s Game, Mar. 24

  • Kyrie Irving (Mavericks): Irving questionable for Friday’s (Mar. 24) game against Charlotte.
  • Tim Hardaway Jr. (Mavericks): Hardaway Jr. questionable for Friday’s (Mar. 24) game against Charlotte.
  • LaMelo Ball (Hornets): Ball is expected to miss the remainder of the season with a fractured right ankle, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.
  • Mark Williams (Hornets): Williams’ status for the remainder of the season is murky, according to Roderick Boone of The Charlotte Observer.
  • Cody Martin (Hornets): Martin hasn’t played since Jan. 14 against Boston. A timetable for his return hasn’t been announced.

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (1,946 assists/ 1,001 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Hornets are shooting 33% from three (754/2,279) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Hornets have a TS% of 48% this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Hornets are shooting 33% from three (372/1,126) in the first half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 39.8 points in the paint per game (1,354 points/34 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Mavericks have averaged 42.6 points in the paint per game (6,474 points/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.6

The Mavericks have averaged 9.2 fast break points per game (312 points/34 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Mavericks have averaged 12.4 turnovers per game (1,892 turnovers/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 8.3 steals per game (1,262 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hornets have blocked 763 shots since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Hornets have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (575 blocks/110 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Hornets have averaged 8.2 steals per game (1,827 steals/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (579 blocks/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Mavericks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (1,003 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (426 blocks/113 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Mavericks have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (890 blocks/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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