Hornets vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Hornets (21-46) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Pistons (15-51)
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Thursday, March 9, 2023 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSDET & BSSE

The Charlotte Hornets visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Detroit.

The Hornets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Hornets vs Pistons Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hornets are 29-36 against the spread, while the Pistons are 29-34 against the spread.


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Hornets vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Charlotte Hornets-4.5 -105O 225.5 -105-175
Detroit Pistons +4.5 -115U 225.5 -105+145

Pistons vs Hornets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Hornets will win Thursday‘s game with 58.8% confidence.

Pistons vs Hornets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52.4% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Hornets and Pistons, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 51 games (+15.56 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (+14.48 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 2H Moneyline in 43 of their last 83 games (+13.89 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.80 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 61 games (+11.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 77 games (+21.07 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 83 games (+16.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 77 games (+15.93 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 50 of their last 83 games (+13.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 60 games (+7.80 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 29-36 (-10.6 Units / -14.39% ROI).

  • 21-46 against the Moneyline (-6.35 Units / -8.56% ROI)
  • 29-38 against the Over for game total points (-12.8 Units / -17.37% ROI)
  • 38-29 against the Under for game total points (+6.1 Units / 8.28% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 29-34 (-8.45 Units / -11.64% ROI).

  • 15-51 against the Moneyline (-19.1 Units / -27.54% ROI)
  • 34-32 against the Over for game total points (-1.2 Units / -1.65% ROI)
  • 32-34 against the Under for game total points (-5.4 Units / -7.44% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 83 games (-32.21 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 83 games (-25.85 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 77 games (-24.92 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 83 games (-21.26 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 25 games (-21.25 Units / -80% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 45 games (-27.97 Units / -57% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 84 games (-25.85 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 45 games (-24.43 Units / -51% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 82 games (-22.75 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 60 games (-21.35 Units / -33% ROI)

Jump to:

Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Hornets are 5-24 (.172) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .470

The Hornets are 8-23 (.258) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .530

The Hornets are 7-14 (.333) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .430

The Hornets are 8-20 (.286) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .470

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Pistons are 4-32 (.111) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .433

The Pistons are 11-60 (.155) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425

The Pistons are 23-82 (.219) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

The Pistons are 2-37 (.051) when losing the rebounding margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .326

Injury Report: Pistons vs. HornetsThursday‘s Game, Mar. 9

  • Isaiah Stewart (Pistons): Stewart hasn’t played since Feb. 25 against Toronto and there remains no timetable for his return.
  • Killian Hayes (Pistons): Hayes is probable for Thursday’s (Mar. 9) game against Charlotte.
  • Jalen Duren (Pistons): Duren is probable for Thursday’s (Mar. 9) game against Charlotte.
  • Cade Cunningham (Pistons): Cunningham had season-ending surgery on his shin. He plans on on being ready for next season, according to James Edwards III of The Athletic.
  • Alec Burks (Pistons): Burks is out for Thursday’s (Mar. 9) game against Charlotte.
  • Hamidou Diallo (Pistons): Diallo is out for Thursday’s (Mar. 9) game against Charlotte.
  • Bojan Bogdanovic (Pistons): Bogdanovic is out for Thursday’s (Mar. 9) game against Charlotte.
  • LaMelo Ball (Hornets): Ball is expected to miss the remainder of the season with a fractured right ankle, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.
  • Cody Martin (Hornets): Martin hasn’t played since Jan. 14 against Boston. A timetable for his return hasn’t been announced.

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (1,825 assists/ 893 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Hornets have a TS% of 48% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Hornets are shooting 32% from three (289/892) at home this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Hornets have averaged 12.0 points in the paint per game (538 points/45 games) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.9

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons are shooting 44% (2,817/6,341) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (717 assists/ 477 TOs) in the first half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Pistons have an eFG% of 51% at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Pistons have a TS% of 48% in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 8.4 steals per game (1,189 steals/142 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hornets have 1,189 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Hornets have averaged 4.9 blocks per game (692 blocks/142 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Hornets have averaged 8.2 steals per game (1,754 steals/214 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,972 rebounds/217 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Pistons have averaged 31.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,615 rebounds/145 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.6

The Pistons have averaged 31.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,990 rebounds/63 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Pistons have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (237 blocks/63 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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