Hornets vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 28, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Thunder (37-38) are -9.5 favorites vs. the Hornets (25-51)
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Tuesday, March 28, 2023 at 8:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSOK & BSSE

The Charlotte Hornets visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Oklahoma City.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The Hornets vs Thunder Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hornets are 34-40 against the spread, while the Thunder are 45-29 against the spread.


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Hornets vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Charlotte Hornets+9.5 -115O 226.5 -115+300
Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5 -105U 226.5 -115-400

Thunder vs Hornets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Tuesday‘s game with 71.2% confidence.

Thunder vs Hornets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.7% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Hornets and Thunder, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+18.80 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 3Q Spread in 39 of their last 60 games (+16.26 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 59 games (+15.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 25 games (+14.50 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 70 games (+14.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+24.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 36 games at home (+20.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 47 of their last 83 games (+19.09 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+14.11 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 78 games (+13.67 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 34-40 (-10 Units / -11.97% ROI).

  • 25-51 against the Moneyline (+3.8 Units / 4.53% ROI)
  • 32-44 against the Over for game total points (-16.4 Units / -19.62% ROI)
  • 44-32 against the Under for game total points (+8.8 Units / 10.53% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 45-29 (+13.2 Units / 16.01% ROI).

  • 37-38 against the Moneyline (+18.85 Units / 19.39% ROI)
  • 42-32 against the Over for game total points (+6.8 Units / 8.24% ROI)
  • 32-42 against the Under for game total points (-14.2 Units / -17.21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 36 games at home (-26.35 Units / -64% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 78 games (-24.82 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 78 games (-23.70 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 82 games (-20.77 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 78 games (-16.72 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 15 of their last 54 games (-27.34 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 72 games (-24.75 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 82 games (-23.85 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 54 games (-23.61 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 72 games (-20.40 Units / -26% ROI)

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Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Hornets are 5-25 (.167) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .469

The Hornets are 23-43 (.348) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Hornets are 10-24 (.294) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .530

The Hornets are 21-34 (.382) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 6-32 (.158) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — fifth-worst among NBA teams. The Brooklyn Nets has shot 37% from three (1,811/4,864) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-best among NBA teams.

The Thunder are 1-33 (.029) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240

The Thunder are 14-86 (.140) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225

The Thunder are 4-39 (.093) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .161

Injury Report: Thunder vs. HornetsTuesday‘s Game, Mar. 28

  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren is moving around is shooting again, according to Quenton Albertie of Clutch Points. He’s not expected to play this season as he recovers from a Lisfranc injury.
  • Lindy Waters III (Thunder): Waters III is OUT for Tuesday’s (Mar 28) game against Charlotte.
  • Kenrich Williams (Thunder): The Thunder announced that Williams suffered a ligament rupture in his left wrist.
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder): Gilgeous-Alexander is questionable for Tuesday’s (Mar 28) game against Charlotte.
  • LaMelo Ball (Hornets): Ball is expected to miss the remainder of the season with a fractured right ankle, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.
  • Gordon Hayward (Hornets): Hayward is doubtful for Tuesday’s (Mar 28) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Kelly Oubre Jr. (Hornets): Oubre Jr. is questionable for Tuesday’s (Mar 28) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Terry Rozier (Hornets): Rozier did is OUT for Tuesday’s (Mar 28) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Cody Martin (Hornets): Martin hasn’t played since Jan. 14 against Boston. A timetable for his return hasn’t been announced.

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (1,946 assists/ 1,001 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Hornets are shooting 33% from three (754/2,279) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Hornets have a TS% of 48% this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Hornets are shooting 33% from three (372/1,126) in the first half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 43% (4,298/9,883) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Thunder have a TS% of 48% on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Thunder have averaged 1.19 points per shot (11,739 points/9,883 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Thunder are shooting 33% from three (879/2,666) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 8.3 steals per game (1,262 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hornets have blocked 763 shots since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Hornets have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (575 blocks/110 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Hornets have averaged 8.2 steals per game (1,827 steals/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (8,103 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Thunder have 76 steals in the last two weeks — most among NBA teams

The Thunder have averaged 8.4 steals per game (571 steals/68 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder have 1,193 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.