Charlotte Hornets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 27, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Warriors (16-18) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Hornets (9-25)
  • Total (Over/Under): 239.5 points
  • Tuesday, December 27, 2022 at 10:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BA & BSSE

The Charlotte Hornets visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Hornets vs Warriors Over/Under is 240.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hornets are 15-18 against the spread, while the Warriors are 15-19 against the spread.


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Hornets vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Charlotte Hornets+4.5 -110O 240.5 -110+150
Golden State Warriors -4.5 -110U 240.5 -110-185

Warriors vs Hornets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Tuesday‘s game with 58.8% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hornets will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 52.4% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Hornets and Warriors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 54 games (+16.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 39 away games (+14.69 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 34 away games (+12.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 away games (+11.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 away games (+10.78 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 29 games at home (+17.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 35 games at home (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 60 of their last 100 games (+15.96 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+10.43 Units / 26% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 15-18 (-4.8 Units / -12.85% ROI).

  • 9-25 against the Moneyline (-7.8 Units / -21.2% ROI)
  • 18-16 against the Over for game total points (+0.4 Units / 1.07% ROI)
  • 16-18 against the Under for game total points (-3.8 Units / -10.16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 15-19 (-5.9 Units / -15.78% ROI).

  • 16-18 against the Moneyline (-16.45 Units / -19.95% ROI)
  • 20-14 against the Over for game total points (+4.6 Units / 12.3% ROI)
  • 14-20 against the Under for game total points (-8 Units / -21.39% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 93 games (-30.17 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 100 games (-29.20 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 48 of their last 96 games (-24.50 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 99 games (-22.05 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 77 games (-20.60 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 81 games (-24.90 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 70 games (-24.74 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 81 games (-23.25 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 75 games (-21.35 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-19.90 Units / -21% ROI)

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Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Hornets are 28-35 (.444) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Hornets are 4-22 (.154) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .256

The Hornets are 16-25 (.390) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Hornets are 8-42 (.160) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .268

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Warriors are 26-4 (.867) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

The Warriors are 51-19 (.729) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Warriors are 8-32 (.200) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224

The Warriors are 19-15 (.559) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

Injury Report: Warriors vs. HornetsTuesday‘s Game, Dec. 27

  • Andrew Wiggins (Warriors): Wiggins is out for Tuesday’s (Dec. 27) game against Charlotte.
  • Draymond Green (Warriors): Green is probable for Tuesday’s (Dec. 27) game against Charlotte.
  • JaMychal Green (Warriors): The Warriors placed Green in the league’s health and safety protocols.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala has yet to make his season debut and the Warriors haven’t announced a timeline for his return.
  • Stephen Curry (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Curry is making progress and will be re-evaluated in two weeks.
  • Nick Richards (Hornets): Richards did not play in Monday’s (Dec. 26) game against Portland.
  • Cody Martin (Hornets): Martin underwent surgery on his left knee and will about six weeks, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.
  • Dennis Smith Jr. (Hornets): Smith Jr. did not play in Monday’s (Dec. 26) game against Portland.

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 1.12 points per shot (629 points/561 shots) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Hornets have a TS% of 46% at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Hornets have averaged 1.18 points per shot (1,522 points/1,286 shots) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Hornets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (1,272 assists/ 573 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 8.4 turnovers per game (109 turnovers/13 games) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors have a TS% of 54% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Warriors have averaged 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,478 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1

The Warriors have averaged 7.2 turnovers per game (1,192 turnovers/166 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,360 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Hornets have blocked 77 shots this season — 9th most among NBA teams

The Hornets have 1,360 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th most among NBA teams

The Hornets have averaged 33.2 defensive rebounds per game (5,550 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,346 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Warriors have averaged 8.9 steals per game (417 steals/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Warriors have 1,388 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Warriors have averaged 6.9 steals per game (90 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.