Hornets vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 25

  • The Warriors are -17.5 favorites vs. the Hornets
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDCH | NSBA

The Charlotte Hornets visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA, USA.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-110).

The Hornets vs Warriors Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hornets are 28-26 against the spread, while the Warriors are 30-27 against the spread.


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Hornets vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Charlotte Hornets+17.5 -110O 218.5 -115+1000
Golden State Warriors -17.5 -110U 218.5 -105-2000

Warriors vs Hornets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Tuesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hornets and Warriors.

Warriors vs Hornets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 55.2% confidence.


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  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 82 games (+16.52 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 3Q Spread in 45 of their last 71 games (+16.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 82 games (+14.64 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 4Q Spread in 50 of their last 82 games (+13.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 70 games (+13.67 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+7.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 18 of their last 28 games at home (+6.45 Units / 20% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 28-26 (-0.65 Units / -1.05% ROI).

  • 14-42 against the Moneyline (-14.1 Units / -22.91% ROI)
  • 21-34 against the Over for game total points (-16.4 Units / -26.62% ROI)
  • 34-21 against the Under for game total points (+10.9 Units / 17.69% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 30-27 (+0.2 Units / 0.32% ROI).

  • 30-27 against the Moneyline (-11.8 Units / -9.96% ROI)
  • 28-29 against the Over for game total points (-3.9 Units / -6.22% ROI)
  • 29-28 against the Under for game total points (-1.8 Units / -2.87% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 82 games (-30.11 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 games at home (-23.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 36 of their last 85 games (-20.85 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 71 games (-19.57 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 20 of their last 58 games (-19.00 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 78 games (-33.60 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 82 games (-28.55 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 81 games (-25.43 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 73 games (-24.45 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 81 games (-23.43 Units / -25% ROI)

Jump to:

Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Hornets are 5-40 (.111) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .386

The Hornets are 3-28 (.097) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .416

The Hornets were winless (0-15) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385

The Hornets were 2-10 (.167) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Warriors are undefeated (6-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .754

The Warriors are 21-8 (.724) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .613

The Warriors were 28-4 (.875) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683

The Warriors are 8-8 (.500) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets had 18.4 free throw attempts per game last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Hornets have 19.1 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Hornets averaged 105.1 points per game (4,308 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.1

The Hornets have averaged 105.6 points per game (6,970 points/66 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.3

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors are shooting 73% from the free throw line (841/1,150) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Warriors have a 22% free throw rate (3,800 free throw attempts/17,027 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Warriors are shooting 43% (1,099/2,578) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,709 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hornets have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,605 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Hornets have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (619 blocks/136 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Hornets averaged 4.5 blocks per game (371 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 8.8 steals per game (485 steals/55 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Warriors have 485 steals this season — 9th most among NBA teams

The Warriors have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (318 blocks/68 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0


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