Jazz vs Nuggets Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Mar. 27

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on ALT | KJZZ

The Utah Jazz visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Denver, CO.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Jazz vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Jazz are 37-36 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 40-33 against the spread.

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Jazz vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nuggets vs Jazz Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Friday‘s game with 71.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Jazz and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Jazz Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 69.1% confidence.

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Jazz Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 away games (+15.10 Units / 62% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 25 away games (+12.15 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.55 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 games (+9.45 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have covered the 2Q Spread in 17 of their last 24 away games (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)

Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+10.20 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+9.55 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+9.35 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+8.85 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.60 Units / 57% ROI)

Utah Jazz Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 37-36 (-2.6 Units / -3.24% ROI).

• 21-52 against the Moneyline (-3.85 Units / -4.98% ROI)
• 43-30 against the Over for game total points (+10 Units / 12.45% ROI)
• 30-43 against the Under for game total points (-17.3 Units / -21.54% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 40-33 (+3.7 Units / 4.6% ROI).

• 46-27 against the Moneyline (+6.6 Units / 3.41% ROI)
• 46-27 against the Over for game total points (+16.33 Units / 20.34% ROI)
• 27-46 against the Under for game total points (-23.6 Units / -29.37% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 30 games at home (-21.81 Units / -42% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 35 games at home (-16.47 Units / -41% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 30 games at home (-14.40 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 30 games at home (-13.35 Units / -38% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 35 games at home (-12.25 Units / -30% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Jazz:

• The Utah Jazz have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 45 games (-18.25 Units / -35% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 40 away games (-15.65 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 25 away games (-15.65 Units / -55% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.30 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have only covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.75 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Utah Jazz
• Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
• Player Injuries for Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets
• Utah Jazz Offensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
• Utah Jazz Defensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Defensive stats

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Jazz are 1-9 (.100) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .600

The Jazz are 42-85 (.331) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Jazz are 13-30 (.302) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Jazz are 43-124 (.257) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .423

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Nuggets are 36-7 (.837) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .618

The Nuggets are winless (0-14) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .085

The Nuggets are 66-25 (.725) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Jazz have averaged 16.2 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest in the NBA.

The Nuggets are 32-13 (.711) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 16.2 turnovers per game (3,841 turnovers/237 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Jazz have averaged 8.1 turnovers per game (1,922 turnovers/237 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Jazz have averaged 16.8 turnovers per game (1,277 turnovers/76 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Jazz have averaged 16.5 turnovers per game (2,556 turnovers/155 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 39% from three (1,030/2,614) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets have averaged 1.39 points per shot (8,965 points/6,439 shots) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Nuggets are shooting 40% from three (496/1,240) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.4 (3,594 assists/ 1,523 TOs) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have allowed 15.0 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.2

The Jazz have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (278 blocks/73 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Jazz have allowed 15.3 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.3

The Jazz have allowed 18.6 fast break points per game (4,401 points/237 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (286 blocks/74 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,726 rebounds/74 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Nuggets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (500 steals/74 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Nuggets have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (8,703 rebounds/238 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

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