Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 10, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Nuggets (15-10) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Jazz (15-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Saturday, December 10, 2022 at 9:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on ALT & SportsNet RM

The Utah Jazz visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Jazz vs Nuggets Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Jazz are 15-13 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 11-14 against the spread.


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Jazz vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Utah Jazz+11.5 -110O 227.5 -110+425
Denver Nuggets -11.5 -110U 227.5 -110-600

Nuggets vs Jazz Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Saturday‘s game with 68.0% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.9% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Jazz and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Moneyline in 54 of their last 87 games (+14.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 75 games (+14.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 2Q Spread in 51 of their last 85 games (+13.78 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 43 games (+12.86 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 away games (+11.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 73 games (+13.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 70 games (+10.51 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 48 of their last 85 games (+10.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 44 of their last 77 games (+9.25 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 15-13 (+0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI).

  • 15-13 against the Moneyline (+0.55 Units / 1.23% ROI)
  • 15-13 against the Over for game total points (+0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI)
  • 13-15 against the Under for game total points (-3.5 Units / -11.36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 11-14 (-4.4 Units / -16% ROI).

  • 15-10 against the Moneyline (-1.3 Units / -2.11% ROI)
  • 13-12 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI)
  • 12-13 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -8.36% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 37 of their last 87 games (-36.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games at home (-24.10 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 76 games (-20.96 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 87 games (-20.89 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 73 games (-20.40 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 88 games (-43.80 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 38 of their last 89 games (-38.29 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 89 games (-35.45 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 88 games (-32.76 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 75 games (-25.48 Units / -30% ROI)

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Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Jazz are 24-8 (.750) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

The Jazz are 52-8 (.867) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .731

The Jazz are 56-21 (.727) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Jazz are 91-27 (.771) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Nuggets are 51-19 (.729) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568

The Nuggets are 33-11 (.750) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Nuggets are 28-15 (.651) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Nuggets are 17-6 (.739) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. JazzSaturday‘s Game, Dec. 10

  • Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets): Nuggets coach Michael Malone said that Porter doesn’t have a timeframe for a return.
  • Jamal Murray (Nuggets): The Nuggets have listed Jamal Murray as PROBABLE for Saturday’s game (Dec.10) against the Jazz.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): The Nuggets announced that Gillespie is out indefinitely after undergoing surgery to repair a lower left leg fracture.
  • Jeff Green (Nuggets): The Nuggets have listed Jeff Green as PROBABLE for Saturday’s game (Dec.10) against the Jazz.
  • Simone Fontecchio (Jazz): Fontecchio did not play in Friday’s game (Dec. 9) against the Timberwolves.
  • Lauri Markkanen (Jazz): Markkanen did not play in Friday’s game (Dec. 9) against the Timberwolves.
  • Johnny Juzang (Jazz): Juzang will be re-evaluated in 10-14 days, according to Eric Walden of The Salt Lake Tribune.

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have made 15.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Jazz have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (72 assists/ 27 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Jazz have made 14.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Jazz have averaged 117.5 points per game (5,404 points/46 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.3

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,136/4,216) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,791/7,476) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 44% from three (61/138) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets are shooting 42% from three (171/404) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,403 rebounds/97 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Jazz have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (6,112 rebounds/169 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Jazz have averaged 7.9 steals per game (119 steals/15 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Jazz have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (851 blocks/169 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (158 blocks/45 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (348 blocks/86 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (196 blocks/50 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (329 blocks/81 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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