Basketball
Denver NuggetsUtah Jazz

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Oct. 28

min read
 BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 28, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Nuggets are -8.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Friday, October 28, 2022 at 9:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on ALT & SportsNet RM

The Utah Jazz visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Denver.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Jazz vs Nuggets Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Jazz are 3-2 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 2-3 against the spread.

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Jazz vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Utah Jazz+8.5 -110O 231.5 -110275
Denver Nuggets -8.5 -110U 231.5 -110-350

Nuggets vs Jazz Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Friday‘s game with 79.3% confidence.

Nuggets vs Jazz Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Jazz and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.

  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Moneyline in 49 of their last 74 games (+18.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 49 games (+13.97 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 29 away games (+13.85 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 2Q Spread in 38 of their last 62 games (+11.53 Units / 17% ROI)
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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 80 games (+20.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 45 of their last 73 games (+17.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 48 of their last 80 games (+15.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.82 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 53 games (+10.40 Units / 17% ROI)
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    Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 3-2 (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI).

    • 4-1 against the Moneyline (+7.3 Units / 93.59% ROI)
    • 2-3 against the Over for game total points (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI)
    • 3-2 against the Under for game total points (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 2-3 (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).

    • 3-2 against the Moneyline (-0.95 Units / -8.15% ROI)
    • 3-2 against the Over for game total points (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI)
    • 2-3 against the Under for game total points (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 28 of their last 79 games (-44.39 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 88 games (-33.76 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 80 games (-28.10 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 86 games (-24.10 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 85 games (-23.99 Units / -26% ROI)
    •
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 85 games (-46.90 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 40 of their last 85 games (-37.70 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 65 games (-28.72 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the Spread in 33 of their last 89 games (-25.25 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 66 games (-24.62 Units / -23% ROI)
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    Jump to:

    Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

    The Jazz are 27-7 (.794) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .579

    The Jazz were 35-13 (.729) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

    The Jazz were 27-4 (.871) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .772

    The Jazz are 30-13 (.698) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

    Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

    The Nuggets are 32-16 (.667) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

    The Nuggets were 20-5 (.800) when they win the turnover margin last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .577

    The Nuggets are 16-10 (.615) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

    The Nuggets are 56-30 (.651) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

    Injury Report: Nuggets vs. Jazz – Friday‘s Game, Oct. 28

  • Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets): Porter Jr. is questionable for Friday’s (Oct. 28) game against Utah.
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Nuggets): Caldwell-Pope is questionable for Friday’s (Oct. 28) game against Utah.
  • Davon Reed (Nuggets): Reed is questionable for Friday’s (Oct. 28) game against Utah.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): Denver Nuggets say guard Collin Gillespie will be out indefinitely after undergoing surgery to repair a lower left leg fracture.
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  • Udoka Azubuike (Jazz): Andy Larsen of The Salt Lake Tribune reports that Azubuike has been cleared for full practice, but it’s unclear when he’ll make his season debut.

    • Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Jazz made 14.5 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

    The Jazz have made 2,397 three-pointers since the start of the 2020-21 season — most among NBA teams

    The Jazz had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,836 assists/ 1,074 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

    The Jazz averaged 10.8 offensive rebounds per game (884 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.3

    Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Nuggets had a TS% of 53% last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

    The Nuggets averaged 27.2 points in the paint per game (2,230 points/82 games) in the first half last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.1

    The Nuggets averaged 7.1 turnovers per game (585 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.4

    The Nuggets shot 51% (1,834/3,634) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

    Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Jazz averaged 35.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,915 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Jazz have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (5,624 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

    The Jazz have averaged 6.9 steals per game (1,059 steals/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Jazz have averaged 6.6 steals per game (510 steals/77 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

    Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Nuggets averaged 3.7 blocks per game (305 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (314 blocks/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Nuggets averaged 34.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,864 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (628 blocks/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

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