Jazz vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 7

• The Pelicans are -11.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
• Total (Over/Under): 242.5 points
• Watch the game on GCSE | KJZZ

The Utah Jazz visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in New Orleans, LA.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Jazz vs Pelicans Over/Under is 242.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Jazz are 40-39 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 44-34 against the spread.

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Jazz vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pelicans vs Jazz Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Tuesday‘s game with 76.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Jazz and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Jazz Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 67.6% confidence.

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Jazz Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 away games (+16.60 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.15 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (+10.10 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.65 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 50% ROI)

Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:

• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games (+13.30 Units / 27% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+11.85 Units / 33% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 3Q Spread in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.95 Units / 32% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.30 Units / 33% ROI)

Utah Jazz Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 40-39 (-2.9 Units / -3.34% ROI).

• 21-58 against the Moneyline (-9.85 Units / -11.82% ROI)
• 47-32 against the Over for game total points (+11.8 Units / 13.58% ROI)
• 32-47 against the Under for game total points (-19.7 Units / -22.67% ROI)

New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 44-34 (+6.6 Units / 7.59% ROI).

• 25-54 against the Moneyline (-20.5 Units / -20.88% ROI)
• 38-41 against the Over for game total points (-7.1 Units / -8.17% ROI)
• 41-38 against the Under for game total points (-0.8 Units / -0.92% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:

• The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 4Q Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.90 Units / -38% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 50 games (-14.90 Units / -27% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.60 Units / -25% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.55 Units / -23% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.00 Units / -24% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Jazz:

• The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 35 games (-20.35 Units / -54% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 50 games (-19.50 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 40 away games (-17.80 Units / -39% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.50 Units / -27% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have only covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.95 Units / -26% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Utah Jazz
• Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
• Player Injuries for Utah Jazz vs. New Orleans Pelicans
• Utah Jazz Offensive stats
• New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
• Utah Jazz Defensive stats
• New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Jazz are 5-18 (.217) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .570

The Jazz are 1-10 (.091) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .600

The Jazz are 13-31 (.295) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Jazz are 27-84 (.243) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .436

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Pelicans are 1-13 (.071) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .400

The Pelicans are 9-60 (.130) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .305

The Pelicans are 3-30 (.091) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .364

The Pelicans are 1-19 (.050) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .302

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 16.4 turnovers per game (1,989 turnovers/121 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

The Jazz have averaged 8.1 turnovers per game (1,957 turnovers/243 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Jazz have averaged 16.1 turnovers per game (3,921 turnovers/243 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Jazz have averaged 52.0 points in the paint per game (4,106 points/79 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 60.2 points in the paint per game (2,406 points/40 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Pelicans have averaged 57.1 points in the paint per game (4,510 points/79 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pelicans have averaged 16.6 fast break points per game (1,310 points/79 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1

The Pelicans have averaged 29.5 points in the paint per game (2,334 points/79 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have allowed 19.7 fast break points per game (2,387 points/121 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.3

The Jazz have allowed 15.4 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.3

The Jazz have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (300 blocks/79 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Jazz have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (330 blocks/81 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,694 rebounds/79 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Pelicans have 696 steals this season — 9th most among NBA teams

The Pelicans have averaged 9.0 steals per game (1,084 steals/121 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Pelicans have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (412 blocks/79 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

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