Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 05, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Jazz (19-21) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (10-28)
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Thursday, January 5, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on SportsNet SW & SportsNet RM

The Utah Jazz visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Houston.

The Jazz are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Jazz vs Rockets Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Jazz are 21-19 against the spread, while the Rockets are 16-19 against the spread.


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Jazz vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Utah Jazz-6.5 -115O 231.5 -105-250
Houston Rockets +6.5 -105U 231.5 -105+200

Rockets vs Jazz Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Jazz will win Thursday‘s game with 66.2% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52.6% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Jazz and Rockets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 55 games (+16.48 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 3Q Spread in 26 of their last 39 games (+11.94 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 60 games (+11.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.62 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 47 away games (+10.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+10.70 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 70 games (+9.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 74 games (+9.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.46 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 21-19 (+0.1 Units / 0.23% ROI).

  • 19-21 against the Moneyline (-6.05 Units / -9.83% ROI)
  • 21-18 against the Over for game total points (+1.2 Units / 2.73% ROI)
  • 18-21 against the Under for game total points (-5.1 Units / -11.59% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 16-19 (-4.9 Units / -11.72% ROI).

  • 10-28 against the Moneyline (-5.4 Units / -13.74% ROI)
  • 18-20 against the Over for game total points (-4 Units / -9.57% ROI)
  • 20-18 against the Under for game total points (+0.2 Units / 0.48% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 74 games (-23.40 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 74 games (-21.10 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 82 games (-19.07 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 82 games (-17.53 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 74 games (-17.16 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 91 games (-43.46 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 90 games (-36.70 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 91 games (-29.74 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 59 games (-24.47 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 84 games (-22.65 Units / -18% ROI)

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Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Jazz are 24-8 (.750) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

The Jazz are 52-8 (.867) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .731

The Jazz are 56-21 (.727) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Jazz are 91-27 (.771) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Rockets are 14-56 (.197) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Rockets are 10-38 (.208) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Rockets are 5-64 (.072) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224

The Rockets are 2-19 (.095) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

Injury Report: Rockets vs. JazzThursday‘s Game, Jan. 5

  • Jae’Sean Tate (Rockets): Tate remains without a timetable to return, according to Adam Spolane of Sports Radio 610 Houston.
  • Collin Sexton (Jazz): Sexton is out for Thursday’s (Jan 5) game against Houston.

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have made 15.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Jazz have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (72 assists/ 27 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Jazz have made 14.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Jazz have averaged 117.5 points per game (5,404 points/46 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.3

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (285 assists/ 221 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (3,913 assists/ 2,527 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Rockets have averaged 15.8 turnovers per game (1,373 turnovers/87 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (52 assists/ 48 TOs) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,403 rebounds/97 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Jazz have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (6,112 rebounds/169 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Jazz have averaged 7.9 steals per game (119 steals/15 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Jazz have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (851 blocks/169 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 32.3 defensive rebounds per game (3,071 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Rockets have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,465 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Rockets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (61 blocks/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Rockets have averaged 31.5 defensive rebounds per game (410 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.