Kings vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 5

  • The Grizzlies are -2.5 favorites vs. the Kings
  • Total (Over/Under): 241.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSCA | FDSM

The Sacramento Kings visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Memphis, TN.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Kings vs Grizzlies Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 8-13 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 14-8 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings O
Memphis Grizzlies U

Grizzlies vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Thursday‘s game with 69.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52.2% confidence.


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  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 42 away games (+16.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 85 games (+12.83 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 44 games (+12.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+7.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 away games (+7.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 46 of their last 68 games (+21.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+13.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 37 games (+13.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 79 games (+12.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.15 Units / 24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 8-13 (-6.3 Units / -26.03% ROI).

  • 10-12 against the Moneyline (-14.85 Units / -28.21% ROI)
  • 11-11 against the Over for game total points (-1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 11-11 against the Under for game total points (-1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 14-8 (+5.2 Units / 21.49% ROI).

  • 14-8 against the Moneyline (-0.75 Units / -1.59% ROI)
  • 14-8 against the Over for game total points (+5.2 Units / 21.49% ROI)
  • 8-14 against the Under for game total points (-7.4 Units / -30.58% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 85 games (-20.07 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 70 games (-19.92 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 74 games (-18.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 62 games (-15.25 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 64 games (-14.60 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 81 games (-43.95 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 87 games (-33.68 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 85 games (-25.36 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 42 away games (-22.55 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-18.60 Units / -21% ROI)

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Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Kings are winless (0-16) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .093

The Kings are undefeated (11-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .898

The Kings are 4-8 (.333) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Kings are 20-15 (.571) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Grizzlies were 1-6 (.143) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385

The Grizzlies are 7-3 (.700) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .521

The Grizzlies were 5-20 (.200) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies were 9-24 (.273) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings shot 74% from the free throw line (1,274/1,710) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Kings had 20.9 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Kings are shooting 79% from the free throw line (399/506) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Kings have averaged 116.1 points per game (12,077 points/104 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.0

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have an eFG% of 42% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Grizzlies are shooting 20% from three (11/54) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Grizzlies have a TS% of 42% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies are shooting 39% (57/147) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings have allowed 11.4 second chance points per game (1,184 points/104 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (725 blocks/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Kings allowed 10.6 second chance points per game (436 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.7 blocks per game (337 blocks/50 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Grizzlies have averaged 7.0 blocks per game (154 blocks/22 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Grizzlies have allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (132/425) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (1,128 blocks/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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