Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 01, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Grizzlies (22-13) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Kings (19-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
  • Sunday, January 1, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSE & NBCS-CA

The Sacramento Kings visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Memphis.

The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Kings vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 19-15 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 17-16 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings+4.5 -115O 238.5 -115+145
Memphis Grizzlies -4.5 -105U 238.5 -115-175

Grizzlies vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Sunday‘s game with 60.7% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Kings and Grizzlies, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 64 games (+14.84 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games (+9.83 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 away games (+8.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 29 away games (+8.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games (+7.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 61 of their last 92 games (+28.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 63 of their last 92 games (+25.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 56 of their last 82 games (+22.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 43 games at home (+21.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 34 games at home (+20.80 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 19-15 (+2.5 Units / 6.68% ROI).

  • 19-15 against the Moneyline (+0.6 Units / 1.09% ROI)
  • 16-18 against the Over for game total points (-3.8 Units / -10.16% ROI)
  • 18-16 against the Under for game total points (+0.4 Units / 1.07% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 17-16 (-0.6 Units / -1.56% ROI).

  • 22-13 against the Moneyline (-0.9 Units / -1.16% ROI)
  • 15-19 against the Over for game total points (-5.9 Units / -15.32% ROI)
  • 19-15 against the Under for game total points (+2.5 Units / 6.49% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 85 games (-36.85 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 92 games (-25.38 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 71 games (-24.82 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 85 games (-22.53 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 83 games (-22.50 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 76 games (-23.42 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 77 games (-20.50 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 76 games (-19.89 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 71 games (-19.34 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 77 games (-18.65 Units / -22% ROI)

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Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Kings are 11-55 (.167) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .206

The Kings are 6-20 (.231) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .311

The Kings are 3-15 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Kings are 19-38 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Memphis Grizzlies are 4-16 (.200) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 45.2 rebounds per game (4,291 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Grizzlies are 64-34 (.653) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .567

The Grizzlies are 54-10 (.844) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .704

The Grizzlies are 37-21 (.638) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. KingsSunday‘s Game, Jan. 1

  • Danny Green (Grizzlies): The 76ers announced that Green has a torn ACL and LCL in his left knee.
  • Santi Aldama (Grizzlies): Aldama is out for Saturday’s (Dec 31) game against New Orleans.
  • Malik Monk (Kings): Monk is questionable for Sunday’s (Jan. 1) game against Memphis

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 7.6 offensive rebounds per game (91 rebounds/12 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.7

The Kings have averaged 1.46 points per shot (308 points/211 shots) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Kings are shooting 37% from three (172/463) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Kings have a 28% free throw rate (293 free throw attempts/1,038 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 7th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 27.9 points in the paint per game (4,632 points/166 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.9

The Grizzlies have averaged 56.5 points in the paint per game (5,372 points/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.3

The Grizzlies have averaged 57.1 points in the paint per game (2,686 points/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.8

The Grizzlies have averaged 56.7 points in the paint per game (4,760 points/84 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.1

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (41 blocks/12 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Kings have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (215 blocks/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Kings have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,436 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Kings have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (196 blocks/47 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.2 steals per game (1,535 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (294 blocks/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.3 steals per game (880 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (428 steals/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.