Basketball
Miami HeatSacramento Kings

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 2

min read
 BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 02, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Heat (2-5) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Kings (1-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
  • Wednesday, November 2, 2022 at 7:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSSUN & NBCS-CA

The Sacramento Kings visit FTX Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Miami.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Kings vs Heat Over/Under is 221.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 4-2 against the spread, while the Heat are 2-6 against the spread.

Bet now on Heat vs Kings and all NBA games with BetMGM

Kings vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings+6.5 -110O 221.5 -110210
Miami Heat -6.5 -110U 221.5 -110-275

Heat vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Wednesday‘s game with 70.9% confidence.

Heat vs Kings Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Kings and Heat, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.

  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 81 games (+17.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 away games (+9.36 Units / 89% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.21 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 4Q Spread in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.88 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 away games (+7.85 Units / 22% ROI)
    •
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 55 of their last 87 games (+19.22 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 50 of their last 80 games (+16.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 96 games (+14.25 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 3Q Spread in 56 of their last 96 games (+11.45 Units / 11% ROI)
    •

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 4-2 (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).

    • 2-4 against the Moneyline (-2 Units / -28.17% ROI)
    • 2-4 against the Over for game total points (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI)
    • 4-2 against the Under for game total points (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 2-6 (-4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI).

    • 3-5 against the Moneyline (-5.35 Units / -42.46% ROI)
    • 4-4 against the Over for game total points (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
    • 4-4 against the Under for game total points (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 91 games (-29.38 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 87 games (-27.62 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 91 games (-27.08 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 42 games (-18.61 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 87 games (-17.99 Units / -19% ROI)
    •
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 23 of their last 78 games (-31.30 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 80 games (-27.82 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 81 games (-27.76 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 82 games (-19.06 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 79 games (-19.05 Units / -19% ROI)
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    Jump to:

    Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

    The Kings were 2-13 (.133) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

    The Kings are 7-20 (.259) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

    The Kings were 1-28 (.034) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .200

    The Kings were 2-25 (.074) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .251

    Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

    The Miami Heat were 25-9 (.735) when they win the turnover margin last season — fifth-best among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (1,173 turnovers/82 games) last season — second-highest among NBA teams.

    The Heat were 27-3 (.900) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .772

    The Heat were 36-8 (.818) when winning the rebounding margin last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .693

    The Heat are 53-25 (.679) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

    Injury Report: Heat vs. Kings – Wednesday‘s Game, Nov. 2

  • Tyler Herro (Heat): Herro left Tuesday’s (Nov 1) game against Golden State.
  • Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo isn’t traveling with the team for their upcoming three-game road trip, according to Barry Jackson of the Miami Herald.
  • Omer Yurtseven (Heat): Yurtseven says his goal is to be back within a week.
    •
  • Trey Lyles (Kings): Lyles is QUESTIONABLE for Wednesday’s (Nov 2) game against Miami.
  • De’Aaron Fox (Kings): Fox is out for Wednesday’s (Nov. 2) game against Miami.
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    Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Kings had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,943 assists/ 1,111 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

    The Kings averaged 13.5 turnovers per game (1,111 turnovers/82 games) last season — 10th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

    The Kings shot 33% from three (434/1,299) in the second half last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

    The Kings had an eFG% of 53% last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

    Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Heat shot 38% from three (1,100/2,888) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

    The Heat averaged 42.9 points in the paint per game (3,476 points/81 games) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.0

    The Heat shot 39% from three (562/1,461) on the road last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

    The Heat shot 38% from three (548/1,431) in the first half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

    Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Kings have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (5,044 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

    The Kings have allowed 59.5 points per game (9,162 points/154 games) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 56.0

    The Kings have allowed 116.5 points per game (17,947 points/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 110.8

    The Kings have allowed 116.7 points per game (8,989 points/77 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 110.2

    Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Heat averaged 3.2 blocks per game (260 blocks/81 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (277 blocks/77 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

    The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (546 blocks/153 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

    The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (269 blocks/76 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

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