Kings vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 1

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The Sacramento Kings visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 pm in Los Angeles, CA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Kings vs Lakers Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 24-37 against the spread, while the Lakers are 31-28 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings O
Los Angeles Lakers U

Lakers vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Lakers.

Lakers vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 games (+8.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+6.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.75 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.45 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+7.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+6.95 Units / 17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 24-37 (-16.7 Units / -24.89% ROI).

  • 14-47 against the Moneyline (-10.8 Units / -16.5% ROI)
  • 31-30 against the Over for game total points (-2 Units / -2.98% ROI)
  • 30-31 against the Under for game total points (-4.1 Units / -6.11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 31-28 (+0.2 Units / 0.31% ROI).

  • 35-24 against the Moneyline (+4.6 Units / 3.72% ROI)
  • 32-26 against the Over for game total points (+3.4 Units / 5.24% ROI)
  • 26-32 against the Under for game total points (-9.2 Units / -14.18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 45 games (-23.60 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 50 games (-22.30 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 40 games (-19.15 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 games (-18.40 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.95 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 40 away games (-20.80 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-17.05 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.45 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 50 games (-16.25 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 30 away games (-15.85 Units / -53% ROI)

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Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Kings are winless (0-6) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .593

The Kings are 3-23 (.115) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .396

The Kings are 5-24 (.172) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

The Kings are 10-27 (.270) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .470

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Lakers are 8-1 (.889) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .776

The Lakers are 17-7 (.708) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Lakers are 112-39 (.742) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed 116.7 points per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-worst in the NBA.

The Lakers are 17-9 (.654) when they win the turnover margin this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have a TS% of 49% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Kings have an eFG% of 52% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Kings have averaged 53.6 points per game (3,268 points/61 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.7

The Kings have made 10.2 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers are shooting 51% (1,188/2,333) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers averaged 30.1 points in the paint per game (2,470 points/82 games) in the first half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Lakers have averaged 5.5 second chance points per game (1,237 points/223 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.2

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,985 rebounds/61 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Kings allowed 11.1 second chance points per game (455 points/41 games) at home in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 51% (1,453/2,856) on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,997 rebounds/59 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Lakers averaged 7.7 steals per game (633 steals/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Lakers have averaged 7.7 steals per game (1,716 steals/223 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Lakers averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,880 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.