Sacramento Kings vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Kings (1-4) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Lakers (1-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Friday, November 11, 2022 at 10:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on SportsNet LA & NBCS-CA

The Sacramento Kings visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Los Angeles.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Kings vs Lakers Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 7-3 against the spread, while the Lakers are 2-9 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings-4.5 -105O 231.5 -110-190
Los Angeles Lakers +4.5 -115U 231.5 -110155

Lakers vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Kings will win Friday‘s game with 61.0% confidence.

Lakers vs Kings Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.5% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Kings and Lakers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 57 games (+14.29 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.97 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+7.73 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 18 away games (+7.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+6.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 76 games (+21.17 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 35 games at home (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games (+11.73 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+9.54 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 69 games (+8.71 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 7-3 (+3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI).

  • 4-6 against the Moneyline (-1.45 Units / -12.18% ROI)
  • 4-6 against the Over for game total points (-2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI)
  • 6-4 against the Under for game total points (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 2-9 (-7.95 Units / -65.43% ROI).

  • 2-9 against the Moneyline (-7.95 Units / -64.37% ROI)
  • 5-6 against the Over for game total points (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI)
  • 6-5 against the Under for game total points (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 81 games (-32.40 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 79 games (-31.55 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 76 games (-31.32 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 75 games (-30.30 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 75 games (-27.45 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 24 of their last 80 games (-31.24 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 47 games (-23.32 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 77 games (-23.00 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 80 games (-20.73 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 80 games (-18.27 Units / -21% ROI)

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Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Kings were 2-13 (.133) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

The Kings were 1-28 (.034) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .200

The Kings are 1-28 (.034) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .200

The Kings are 2-25 (.074) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .251

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Lakers were 3-11 (.214) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .481

The Lakers were 13-4 (.765) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .612

The Lakers were 11-23 (.324) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .450

The Lakers are 27-30 (.474) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

Injury Report: Lakers vs. KingsFriday‘s Game, Nov. 11

  • Thomas Bryant (Lakers): Lakers say Bryant underwent surgery on his left thumb and will be re-evaluated in three weeks.
  • Lonnie Walker IV (Lakers): Walker IV did not play in Wednesday’s (Nov. 9) game against the Clippers.
  • LeBron James (Lakers): James left Wednesday’s (Nov. 9) game against the Clippers and did not return.
  • Dennis Schroder (Lakers): Lakers head coach Darvin Ham announced that Schroder will undergo surgery on his thumb and be out three-to-four weeks.
  • Sacramento Kings – No Injuries Reported

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings had a TS% of 49% last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Kings had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (974 assists/ 564 TOs) at home last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Kings had an eFG% of 53% last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Kings averaged 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (784 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.3

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers had 23.1 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Lakers averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (1,121 turnovers/81 games) last season — tied for 3rd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Lakers are shooting 73% from the free throw line (1,371/1,875) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 77%

The Lakers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,905 assists/ 1,163 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (5,044 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Kings have averaged 7.0 steals per game (289 steals/41 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (547/1,473) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Kings have allowed a TS% of 53% on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (417 blocks/81 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Lakers have blocked 417 shots since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Lakers have averaged 7.7 steals per game (1,180 steals/153 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Lakers have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (442 blocks/77 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.