Kings vs Mavericks Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Feb. 26

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on KFAA | NSCA | WFAA

The Sacramento Kings visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Dallas, TX.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Kings vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 23-37 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 26-31 against the spread.

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Kings vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mavericks vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Thursday‘s game with 74.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 65.0% confidence.

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Kings Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.50 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.80 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.65 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 games (+7.15 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 60% ROI)

Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2H Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.63 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 35 games (+13.30 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (+10.15 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+9.90 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)

Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 23-37 (-17.7 Units / -26.82% ROI).

• 13-47 against the Moneyline (-13.3 Units / -20.64% ROI)
• 30-30 against the Over for game total points (-3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
• 30-30 against the Under for game total points (-3 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 26-31 (-8.15 Units / -12.99% ROI).

• 21-36 against the Moneyline (-7.95 Units / -11.04% ROI)
• 26-31 against the Over for game total points (-8.1 Units / -12.92% ROI)
• 31-26 against the Under for game total points (+2.4 Units / 3.83% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:

• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 50 games (-20.95 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 35 games (-17.95 Units / -46% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.55 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games (-15.75 Units / -35% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 30 games at home (-14.20 Units / -41% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:

• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 40 away games (-24.30 Units / -46% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.20 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.45 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 50 games (-16.25 Units / -32% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 30 away games (-15.65 Units / -52% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
• Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
• Player Injuries for Sacramento Kings vs. Dallas Mavericks
• Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
• Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Kings are winless (0-6) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .590

The Kings are 4-24 (.143) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Kings are 9-43 (.173) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357

The Kings are 3-23 (.115) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Mavericks are 11-16 (.407) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

The Mavericks are 8-20 (.286) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .437

The Mavericks were 5-13 (.278) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Mavericks are 62-24 (.721) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings are shooting 34% from three (614/1,815) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Kings have made 10.2 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Kings are shooting 33% from three (307/938) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Kings have a TS% of 48% in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks have made 10.8 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Mavericks have averaged 12.6 second chance points per game (716 points/57 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Mavericks have averaged 12.0 second chance points per game (323 points/27 games) on the road this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings have averaged 32.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,954 rebounds/60 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (3,054/8,062) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Kings allowed 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,190 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.2

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,120 rebounds/57 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Mavericks have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (306 blocks/57 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Mavericks have blocked 306 shots this season — 9th most among NBA teams

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

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