Kings vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 05, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Mavericks (37-42) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Kings (48-31)
  • Total (Over/Under): 241.5 points
  • Wednesday, April 5, 2023 at 8:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSSW & NBCS-CA

The Sacramento Kings visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Dallas.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Kings vs Mavericks Over/Under is 241.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 44-35 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 30-46 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings+6.5 -110O 241.5 -110+200
Dallas Mavericks -6.5 -110U 241.5 -110-250

Mavericks vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Wednesday‘s game with 64.3% confidence.

Mavericks vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 52.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Kings and Mavericks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 28 of their last 39 away games (+18.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 away games (+16.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 40 away games (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 60 games (+12.03 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 58 games (+11.41 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 74 games (+11.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games at home (+9.93 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 games (+8.94 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 77 games (+6.68 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+6.50 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 44-35 (+5.5 Units / 6.33% ROI).

  • 48-31 against the Moneyline (-6.15 Units / -3.56% ROI)
  • 40-38 against the Over for game total points (-1.8 Units / -2.07% ROI)
  • 38-40 against the Under for game total points (-6 Units / -6.9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 30-46 (-20.55 Units / -23.68% ROI).

  • 37-42 against the Moneyline (-42.6 Units / -23.83% ROI)
  • 41-37 against the Over for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.35% ROI)
  • 37-41 against the Under for game total points (-8.1 Units / -9.32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 84 games (-46.15 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 70 games (-29.39 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 77 games (-26.90 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 94 games (-26.80 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the Spread in 31 of their last 84 games (-23.95 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 82 games (-23.80 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 60 games (-20.14 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 58 games (-18.29 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 65 games (-17.85 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 77 games (-17.26 Units / -16% ROI)

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Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Kings are 3-34 (.081) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .229

The Kings are winless (0-17) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .119

The Kings are 20-33 (.377) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

The Kings are 6-29 (.171) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Mavericks are 25-1 (.962) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .773

The Mavericks are 42-10 (.808) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .767

The Mavericks are 44-41 (.518) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Mavericks are 32-7 (.821) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .770

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. KingsWednesday‘s Game, Apr. 5

  • Kyrie Irving (Mavericks): Irving is probable for Wednesday’s (Apr. 5) game against Sacramento.
  • Luka Doncic (Mavericks): Doncic is probable for Wednesday’s (Apr. 5) game against Sacramento.
  • Matthew Dellavedova (Kings): Dellavedova did not play in Tuesday’s (Apr. 4) game against New Orleans.

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 121.2 points per game (8,241 points/68 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.5

The Kings are shooting 39% from three (133/339) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Kings have an eFG% of 58% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Kings have averaged 124.2 points per game (4,347 points/35 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.0

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 39.8 points in the paint per game (1,354 points/34 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Mavericks have averaged 42.6 points in the paint per game (6,474 points/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.6

The Mavericks have averaged 9.2 fast break points per game (312 points/34 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Mavericks have averaged 12.4 turnovers per game (1,892 turnovers/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (218 blocks/68 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Kings have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,063 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Kings have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (304 blocks/76 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Kings have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (945 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (579 blocks/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Mavericks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (1,003 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (426 blocks/113 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Mavericks have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (890 blocks/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.