- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on KFAA | NSCA | WFAA
The Sacramento Kings visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas, TX, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Kings vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Kings are 19-30 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 26-25 against the spread.
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Kings vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Sacramento Kings | O | ||
| Dallas Mavericks | U |
Mavericks vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Mavericks.
Mavericks vs Kings Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 54.2% confidence.
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Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 85 games (+10.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have covered the 4Q Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.55 Units / 14% ROI)
Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 49 games at home (+17.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 57 of their last 94 games (+17.58 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 95 games (+17.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 48 games at home (+14.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 48 games at home (+14.40 Units / 27% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 19-30 (-14 Units / -24.48% ROI).
- 26-26 against the Moneyline (-14.75 Units / -11.41% ROI)
- 28-23 against the Over for game total points (+2.7 Units / 4.72% ROI)
- 23-28 against the Under for game total points (-7.85 Units / -13.71% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 26-25 (-1.5 Units / -2.57% ROI).
- 28-25 against the Moneyline (+5.45 Units / 4.58% ROI)
- 28-25 against the Over for game total points (+0.5 Units / 0.86% ROI)
- 25-28 against the Under for game total points (-5.8 Units / -9.95% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 47 games at home (-30.15 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 49 games at home (-25.50 Units / -45% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 48 games at home (-21.92 Units / -40% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 48 games at home (-19.20 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 47 games at home (-18.65 Units / -34% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 47 games (-29.70 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 85 games (-22.72 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 47 games (-20.50 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 47 games (-19.82 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 80 games (-19.01 Units / -21% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Player Injuries for Sacramento Kings vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Kings were 26-14 (.650) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Kings are 6-12 (.333) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .422
The Kings are 29-21 (.580) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
The Kings were 30-10 (.750) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Mavericks are 14-4 (.778) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game this season — T-worst in the NBA.
The Mavericks are undefeated (7-0) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .705
The Mavericks are winless (0-12) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .170
The Mavericks are 17-2 (.895) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three this season — T-2nd-worst in the NBA.
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (5,207 assists/ 2,524 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Kings averaged 16.8 offensive rebounds per game (1,380 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2
The Kings had a TS% of 50% in the second half last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Kings are shooting 33% from three (300/921) on the road this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (1,131 turnovers/188 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9
The Mavericks made 14.7 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Mavericks have averaged 1.31 points per shot (6,123 points/4,673 shots) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Kings allowed 11.1 second chance points per game (455 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6
The Kings allowed 5.3 second chance points per game (436 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1
The Kings have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,875 rebounds/52 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Mavericks have averaged 7.3 steals per game (989 steals/135 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Mavericks have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (323 blocks/53 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
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