- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on NSCA | KFAA | WFAA
The Sacramento Kings visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas, TX, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Kings vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Kings are 24-32 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 30-29 against the spread.
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Kings vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Sacramento Kings | O | ||
| Dallas Mavericks | U |
Mavericks vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Mavericks.
Mavericks vs Kings Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 59.8% confidence.
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Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Sacramento Kings have covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 28 games (+12.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 81 games (+12.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+12.38 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 49 games (+11.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 57 of their last 96 games (+16.58 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 98 games (+15.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 34 games at home (+15.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 49 games at home (+15.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+12.90 Units / 36% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 24-32 (-11.2 Units / -17.26% ROI).
- 31-28 against the Moneyline (-13.7 Units / -9.31% ROI)
- 31-27 against the Over for game total points (+1.3 Units / 2% ROI)
- 27-31 against the Under for game total points (-7.15 Units / -11.01% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 30-29 (-1.9 Units / -2.83% ROI).
- 32-29 against the Moneyline (+7.4 Units / 5.58% ROI)
- 31-30 against the Over for game total points (-2 Units / -2.98% ROI)
- 30-31 against the Under for game total points (-4.1 Units / -6.11% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 100 games (-24.22 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 49 games at home (-23.12 Units / -41% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games at home (-20.00 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 100 games (-17.60 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 48 games at home (-17.48 Units / -32% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 54 games (-25.45 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 81 games (-24.37 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 1Q Spread in 17 of their last 54 games (-21.52 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 84 games (-19.36 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 54 games (-18.50 Units / -22% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Player Injuries for Sacramento Kings vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Kings are winless (0-14) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .091
The Kings were 30-10 (.750) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Kings are winless (0-10) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .187
The Kings are 18-10 (.643) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Mavericks are 40-11 (.784) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — worst in the NBA.
The Mavericks are 52-16 (.765) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed 13.7 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-worst in the NBA.
The Mavericks are 15-1 (.938) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .753
The Mavericks are 39-13 (.750) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .637
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings have a 22% free throw rate (1,415 free throw attempts/6,512 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%
The Kings shot 74% from the free throw line (1,274/1,710) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Kings are shooting 48% (2,559/5,366) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Kings have averaged 116.8 points per game (6,892 points/59 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.5
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks made 14.7 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Mavericks have 23.0 free throw attempts per game this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.8
The Mavericks averaged 12.7 turnovers per game (1,045 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings allowed 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,190 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.2
The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Kings have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,142 rebounds/59 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Kings allowed 11.1 second chance points per game (455 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks have averaged 7.4 steals per game (1,057 steals/143 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Mavericks have blocked 778 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th most among NBA teams
The Mavericks have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (778 blocks/143 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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