Kings vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 03, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Kings (29-21) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Pacers (24-29)
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
  • Friday, February 3, 2023 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSIN & NBCS-CA

The Sacramento Kings visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Indianapolis.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Kings vs Pacers Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 28-22 against the spread, while the Pacers are 28-25 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings-3.5 -115O 233.5 -110-165
Indiana Pacers +3.5 -105U 233.5 -110+135

Pacers vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Kings will win Friday‘s game with 55.6% confidence.

Pacers vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 54.8% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Kings and Pacers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 78 games (+20.31 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 79 games (+12.96 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 25 away games (+12.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 away games (+12.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.58 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 50 of their last 77 games (+21.54 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 48 games (+17.49 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 41 of their last 67 games (+12.76 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 47 games (+11.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.50 Units / 24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 28-22 (+3.8 Units / 6.9% ROI).

  • 29-21 against the Moneyline (+1 Units / 1.14% ROI)
  • 22-28 against the Over for game total points (-8.8 Units / -16% ROI)
  • 28-22 against the Under for game total points (+3.8 Units / 6.91% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 28-25 (+0.5 Units / 0.86% ROI).

  • 24-29 against the Moneyline (+6.5 Units / 10.21% ROI)
  • 25-28 against the Over for game total points (-5.8 Units / -9.95% ROI)
  • 28-25 against the Under for game total points (+0.5 Units / 0.86% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 77 games (-42.25 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 21 of their last 77 games (-39.00 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 67 games (-21.05 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games (-15.82 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 47 games (-15.75 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 78 games (-31.00 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 77 games (-23.48 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 79 games (-22.88 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 69 games (-17.02 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 57 games (-15.80 Units / -21% ROI)

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Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Kings are 18-10 (.643) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .528

The Kings are 10-45 (.182) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225

The Kings are 14-54 (.206) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .275

The Kings are 14-31 (.311) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .426

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Indiana Pacers are 20-43 (.317) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Chicago Bulls have averaged 12.5 turnovers per game (1,594 turnovers/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Pacers are 15-51 (.227) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .314

The Pacers are 15-25 (.375) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Pacers are 3-41 (.068) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .155

Injury Report: Pacers vs. KingsFriday‘s Game, Feb. 3

  • Indiana Pacers – No Injuries Reported
  • De’Aaron Fox (Kings): Fox is OUT for Friday’s (Feb 3) game against Indiana.

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings are shooting 51% (302/595) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 45%

The Kings have averaged 1.37 points per shot (5,400 points/3,946 shots) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Kings have averaged 120.0 points per game (5,400 points/45 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.1

The Kings have averaged 58.5 points per game (2,631 points/45 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55.9

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 18.9 fast break points per game (906 points/48 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Pacers have averaged 15.8 fast break points per game (3,188 points/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Pacers have averaged 113.7 points per game (22,962 points/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.9

The Pacers have averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (505 points/48 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (150 blocks/45 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have averaged 6.6 steals per game (298 steals/45 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Kings have averaged 7.0 steals per game (886 steals/127 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Kings have averaged 7.1 steals per game (466 steals/66 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (601 blocks/101 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (284 blocks/48 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (1,201 blocks/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pacers have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,542 rebounds/48 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.