Kings vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 04, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Pelicans are -3.5 favorites vs. the Kings
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
  • Tuesday, April 4, 2023 at 8:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSNO & NBCS-CA

The Sacramento Kings visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in New Orleans.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Kings vs Pelicans Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 43-35 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 38-39 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings+3.5 -105O 235.5 -115+135
New Orleans Pelicans -3.5 -115U 235.5 -115-165

Pelicans vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Kings will win Tuesday‘s game with 54.1% confidence.

Pelicans vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 54.1% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Kings and Pelicans, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 27 of their last 38 away games (+17.72 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 39 away games (+15.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.13 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 39 away games (+11.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 57 games (+10.41 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 70 games (+25.59 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 38 games (+20.91 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 45 of their last 74 games (+15.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 36 games (+14.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games (+13.20 Units / 32% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 43-35 (+4.5 Units / 5.24% ROI).

  • 47-31 against the Moneyline (-7.7 Units / -4.48% ROI)
  • 40-37 against the Over for game total points (-0.7 Units / -0.82% ROI)
  • 37-40 against the Under for game total points (-7 Units / -8.16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 38-39 (-4.9 Units / -5.71% ROI).

  • 40-38 against the Moneyline (-6.9 Units / -4.94% ROI)
  • 37-41 against the Over for game total points (-8.1 Units / -9.44% ROI)
  • 41-37 against the Under for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.35% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 72 games (-35.06 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 46 games (-25.52 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 74 games (-22.55 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 90 games (-20.74 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 46 games (-20.65 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 81 games (-25.00 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 59 games (-21.14 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 64 games (-19.20 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 76 games (-18.36 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 57 games (-17.09 Units / -27% ROI)

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Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Kings are 3-34 (.081) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .229

The Kings are winless (0-17) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .119

The Kings are 20-33 (.377) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

The Kings are 6-29 (.171) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The New Orleans Pelicans are 8-20 (.286) when losing the rebounding margin this season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Los Angeles Lakers have averaged 54.0 rebounds per game (3,670 rebounds/68 games) this season — fifth-highest among NBA teams.

The New Orleans Pelicans are 18-40 (.310) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Los Angeles Lakers have averaged 53.3 rebounds per game (7,990 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Pelicans are 11-20 (.355) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .469

The Pelicans are 8-20 (.286) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. KingsTuesday‘s Game, Apr. 4

  • E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): Liddell is doing some light shooting and is making progress from a torn right ACL, according to Cody Taylor of The USA Today. He’s expected to miss most of the season.
  • Zion Williamson (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that Williamson will be re-evaluated in two weeks.
  • Jose Alvarado (Pelicans): Alvardo played his last game (Feb.27), he will be re-examined in 2-3 weeks.
  • Malik Monk (Kings): Monk is questionable for Tuesday’s (Apr. 4) game against New Orleans.
  • Matthew Dellavedova (Kings): Dellavedova is out for Tuesday’s (Apr. 4) game against New Orleans.

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 121.2 points per game (8,241 points/68 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.5

The Kings are shooting 39% from three (133/339) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Kings have an eFG% of 58% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Kings have averaged 124.2 points per game (4,347 points/35 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.0

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have 24.7 free throw attempts per game this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7

The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (2,771 free throw attempts/9,804 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

The Pelicans have averaged 14.7 second chance points per game (2,200 points/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (5,462 free throw attempts/19,581 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (218 blocks/68 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Kings have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,063 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Kings have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (304 blocks/76 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Kings have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (945 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (1,252 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pelicans have 572 steals this season — tied for 3rd most among NBA teams

The Pelicans have averaged 8.4 steals per game (572 steals/68 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (610 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.