Kings vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 1

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on SCHN | NSCA

The Sacramento Kings visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Houston, TX, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Kings vs Rockets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 23-32 against the spread, while the Rockets are 32-27 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings O
Houston Rockets U

Rockets vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Rockets.

Rockets vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 56.1% confidence.


Bet now on Rockets vs Kings and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 27 games (+11.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 games (+11.38 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+10.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 49 of their last 76 games (+12.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 48 of their last 82 games (+12.73 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 45 of their last 75 games (+12.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 48 of their last 82 games (+10.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 79 games (+10.47 Units / 9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 23-32 (-12.2 Units / -19.12% ROI).

  • 30-28 against the Moneyline (-15.15 Units / -10.37% ROI)
  • 31-26 against the Over for game total points (+2.4 Units / 3.76% ROI)
  • 26-31 against the Under for game total points (-8.15 Units / -12.76% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 32-27 (+2.3 Units / 3.54% ROI).

  • 37-22 against the Moneyline (-9.4 Units / -6.76% ROI)
  • 30-28 against the Over for game total points (-0.8 Units / -1.23% ROI)
  • 28-30 against the Under for game total points (-4.9 Units / -7.56% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 games at home (-18.20 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 79 games (-18.00 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 80 games (-17.50 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 82 games (-17.37 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 82 games (-17.15 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 53 games (-26.70 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-23.22 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 53 games (-22.52 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 74 games (-22.05 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 53 games (-19.65 Units / -23% ROI)

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Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Kings are winless (0-14) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .092

The Kings are undefeated (14-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .895

The Kings are 43-24 (.642) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Kings are 47-21 (.691) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Rockets are 10-1 (.909) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .703

The Rockets were winless (0-14) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142

The Rockets were 19-3 (.864) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

The Rockets are 14-1 (.933) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game this season — T-2nd-worst in the NBA.

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings shot 74% from the free throw line (1,274/1,710) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Kings have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (1,478 assists/ 731 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Kings made 14.4 three-pointers per game last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Kings are shooting 34% from three (681/1,975) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Rockets have averaged 22.7 offensive rebounds per game (1,250 rebounds/55 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0

The Rockets are shooting 28% from three (77/278) in close and late situations this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Rockets have a TS% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings have allowed 11.9 second chance points per game (1,626 points/137 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9

The Kings allowed 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,190 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.2

The Kings have allowed 5.6 second chance points per game (762 points/137 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets averaged 7.8 steals per game (639 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Rockets allowed 11.7 fast break points per game (958 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4

The Rockets allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (1,012/2,904) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.