Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Kings (27-20) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves (26-25)
  • Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
  • Saturday, January 28, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSNX & NBCS-CA

The Sacramento Kings visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Minneapolis.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Kings vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 26-21 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 24-27 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings-3.5 -105O 237.5 -110-155
Minnesota Timberwolves +3.5 -115U 237.5 -110+125

Timberwolves vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Kings will win Saturday‘s game with 59.4% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 54.1% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Kings and Timberwolves, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 75 games (+17.31 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 77 games (+13.16 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 away games (+11.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 33 away games (+10.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.89 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 57 games (+21.24 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 79 games (+18.82 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 48 of their last 75 games (+17.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 46 of their last 75 games (+15.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 75 games (+13.30 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 26-21 (+2.9 Units / 5.6% ROI).

  • 27-20 against the Moneyline (+0.2 Units / 0.24% ROI)
  • 22-25 against the Over for game total points (-5.5 Units / -10.64% ROI)
  • 25-22 against the Under for game total points (+0.8 Units / 1.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 24-27 (-5.7 Units / -10.15% ROI).

  • 26-25 against the Moneyline (-10.25 Units / -10.89% ROI)
  • 24-27 against the Over for game total points (-5.7 Units / -10.16% ROI)
  • 27-24 against the Under for game total points (+0.6 Units / 1.07% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 22 of their last 62 games (-32.73 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 91 games (-31.08 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 65 games (-28.49 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 85 games (-20.94 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 68 games (-19.50 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 79 games (-27.67 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 77 games (-22.62 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 74 games (-19.32 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 76 games (-17.45 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 45 games (-15.51 Units / -25% ROI)

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Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Kings are 18-10 (.643) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .528

The Kings are 10-45 (.182) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225

The Kings are 14-54 (.206) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .275

The Kings are 14-31 (.311) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .426

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Timberwolves are 11-16 (.407) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .472

The Timberwolves are 43-48 (.473) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Timberwolves are 32-8 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

The Timberwolves are 40-55 (.421) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. KingsSaturday‘s Game, Jan. 28

  • Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): Towns is expected to miss 4-6 weeks with a right calf strain, according to Adrian Wojnarowki of ESPN.
  • Jordan McLaughlin (Timberwolves): McLaughlin is considered weeks away from returning, according to Jon Krawczynski of The Athletic.
  • Taurean Prince (Timberwolves): Prince did not play in Friday’s (Jan. 27) game against Memphis.
  • Sacramento Kings – No Injuries Reported

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings are shooting 51% (302/595) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 45%

The Kings have averaged 1.37 points per shot (5,400 points/3,946 shots) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Kings have averaged 120.0 points per game (5,400 points/45 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.1

The Kings have averaged 58.5 points per game (2,631 points/45 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55.9

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 15.0 fast break points per game (1,952 points/130 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 56% this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have averaged 55.0 points in the paint per game (1,210 points/22 games) on the road this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.4

The Timberwolves have averaged 115.7 points per game (15,042 points/130 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.9

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (150 blocks/45 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have averaged 6.6 steals per game (298 steals/45 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Kings have averaged 7.0 steals per game (886 steals/127 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Kings have averaged 7.1 steals per game (466 steals/66 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.7 steals per game (1,755 steals/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves have averaged 32.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,535 rebounds/48 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (259 blocks/48 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (1,117 blocks/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.