Kings vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 7

• The Warriors are -14.5 favorites vs. the Kings
• Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
• Watch the game on NSCA | NSBA

The Sacramento Kings visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 pm in San Francisco, CA.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Kings vs Warriors Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 33-46 against the spread, while the Warriors are 35-43 against the spread.

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Kings vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Warriors vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Tuesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Warriors.

Warriors vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

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Kings Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 games (+10.15 Units / 58% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+10.06 Units / 61% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.00 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games (+8.95 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+8.80 Units / 26% ROI)

Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 24 games at home (+15.20 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+13.80 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+12.75 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+12.73 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)

Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 33-46 (-17.6 Units / -20.25% ROI).

• 21-58 against the Moneyline (-3.65 Units / -4.24% ROI)
• 40-39 against the Over for game total points (-2.9 Units / -3.34% ROI)
• 39-40 against the Under for game total points (-5 Units / -5.75% ROI)

Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 35-43 (-12.3 Units / -14.34% ROI).

• 36-42 against the Moneyline (-20.4 Units / -11.87% ROI)
• 47-31 against the Over for game total points (+12.9 Units / 15.04% ROI)
• 31-47 against the Under for game total points (-20.7 Units / -24.13% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:

• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 45 games (-27.55 Units / -44% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 11 of their last 40 games (-22.40 Units / -48% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 45 games at home (-21.30 Units / -42% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 50 games (-19.75 Units / -35% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 45 games at home (-19.15 Units / -37% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:

• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 40 away games (-16.55 Units / -41% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-14.65 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 15 of their last 40 away games (-13.75 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 40 games (-13.35 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 away games (-12.45 Units / -27% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
• Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
• Player Injuries for Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors
• Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
• Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
• Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
• Golden State Warriors Defensive stats

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Kings are 1-8 (.111) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .600

The Kings are 11-34 (.244) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Kings are 6-25 (.194) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .302

The Kings are winless (0-31) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .084

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Warriors are 21-23 (.477) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Warriors are 51-8 (.864) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-5th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 48% since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-4th-worst in the NBA.

The Warriors are 3-17 (.150) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .218

The Warriors are 112-93 (.546) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have made 10.2 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Kings have averaged 1.24 points per shot (8,763 points/7,040 shots) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Kings are shooting 33% from three (406/1,216) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Kings have averaged 109.5 points per game (4,270 points/39 games) on the road this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.8

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 17.3 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/39 games) on the road this season — tied for highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6

The Warriors have averaged 6.3 fast break points per game (495 points/78 games) in the first half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Warriors have averaged 15.5 second chance points per game (1,211 points/78 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Warriors have made 15.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,606 rebounds/79 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Kings have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (1,051 blocks/243 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (1,706/4,406) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (2,280/6,002) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 10.3 steals per game (823 steals/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Warriors have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,605 rebounds/78 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Warriors have averaged 9.8 steals per game (763 steals/78 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Warriors have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (332 blocks/78 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

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