Knicks vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 27

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  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The New York Knicks visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Knicks vs Bucks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Knicks are 30-28 against the spread, while the Bucks are 27-30 against the spread.


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Knicks vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New York Knicks O
Milwaukee Bucks U

Bucks vs Knicks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Knicks will win Friday‘s game with 78.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Knicks and Bucks.

Bucks vs Knicks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 54.3% confidence.


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  • The New York Knicks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 away games (+10.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+14.85 Units / 149% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 2H Spread in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.68 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+9.30 Units / 116% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 30-28 (-0.8 Units / -1.23% ROI).

  • 37-22 against the Moneyline (-3.5 Units / -2.14% ROI)
  • 28-31 against the Over for game total points (-6.1 Units / -9.4% ROI)
  • 31-28 against the Under for game total points (+0.2 Units / 0.31% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 27-30 (-6 Units / -9.58% ROI).

  • 26-31 against the Moneyline (-4 Units / -4.64% ROI)
  • 24-33 against the Over for game total points (-12.3 Units / -19.62% ROI)
  • 33-24 against the Under for game total points (+6.6 Units / 10.53% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-20.15 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.90 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 35 games at home (-16.55 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-15.60 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.10 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 games (-25.00 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 50 games (-23.35 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.80 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 30 games (-17.30 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 16 of their last 45 away games (-17.10 Units / -33% ROI)

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New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Knicks are 11-3 (.786) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .601

The Knicks were 21-6 (.778) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .611

The Knicks were 17-13 (.567) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .443

The Knicks are 14-6 (.700) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Bucks are 1-13 (.071) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .215

The Bucks are 24-10 (.706) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .642

The Bucks are winless (0-10) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224

The Bucks were 23-5 (.821) when shooting 40% or better from three in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks averaged 19.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,557 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Knicks have a TS% of 52% this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Knicks have averaged 47.0 points in the paint per game (2,774 points/59 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.5

The Knicks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (1,595 assists/ 802 TOs) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 45% from three (124/276) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Bucks have a TS% of 57% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Bucks are shooting 39% from three (839/2,142) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Bucks have an eFG% of 62% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks averaged 4.1 blocks per game (336 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Knicks have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (568 blocks/141 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Knicks averaged 4.0 blocks per game (324 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Knicks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (904 blocks/223 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (775 steals/110 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.1

The Bucks have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (8,102 rebounds/221 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (1,031 blocks/221 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Bucks averaged 7.3 steals per game (601 steals/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.