New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Oct. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 28, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks are -6.5 favorites vs. the Knicks
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Friday, October 28, 2022 at 8:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSWI & MSG

The New York Knicks visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (100).

The Knicks vs Bucks Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Knicks are 3-1 against the spread, while the Bucks are 3-0 against the spread.


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Knicks vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New York Knicks+6.5 -120O 223.5 -110195
Milwaukee Bucks -6.5 100U 223.5 -110-250

Bucks vs Knicks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Friday‘s game with 70.8% confidence.

Bucks vs Knicks Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Knicks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.6% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Knicks and Bucks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


  • The New York Knicks have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+15.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 57 games (+14.57 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 37 away games (+13.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+12.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 away games (+12.07 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 39 of their last 58 games (+18.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 26 games (+17.65 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 91 games (+17.03 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+12.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 3-1 (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

    • 3-1 against the Moneyline (+2 Units / 20.2% ROI)
    • 2-1 against the Over for game total points (+0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI)
    • 1-2 against the Under for game total points (-1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 3-0 (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).

    • 3-0 against the Moneyline (+3.55 Units / 30.6% ROI)
    • 1-2 against the Over for game total points (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI)
    • 2-1 against the Under for game total points (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games at home (-31.10 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 91 games (-28.76 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 22 of their last 47 games at home (-25.93 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 62 games (-25.40 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 games (-24.91 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 69 games (-22.71 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.60 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 33 games (-12.82 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 82 games (-12.13 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 77 games (-11.93 Units / -13% ROI)
  • Jump to:

    New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

    The Knicks were winless (0-14) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .251

    The Knicks were 4-20 (.167) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

    The Knicks are 29-29 (.500) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

    The Knicks are 19-10 (.655) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

    Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

    The Bucks were 15-5 (.750) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .612

    The Bucks were 21-9 (.700) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571

    The Bucks are 80-17 (.825) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

    The Bucks are 30-22 (.577) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

    Injury Report: Bucks vs. KnicksFriday‘s Game, Oct. 28

  • Khris Middleton (Bucks): Middleton is expected to miss the first few weeks of the regular season, according to Shams Charnia and Eric Nehm of The Athletic.
  • Pat Connaughton (Bucks): The Bucks announced that Connaughton will miss about three weeks.
  • Joe Ingles (Bucks): Bucks GM Jon Horst said Ingles is expected to return sometime in January.
  • Quentin Grimes (Knicks): Grimes is out for Friday’s (Oct. 28) game against Milwaukee.
  • New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Knicks averaged 39.9 points in the paint per game (1,634 points/41 games) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.5

    The Knicks averaged 41.4 points in the paint per game (3,392 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.0

    The Knicks averaged 50.9 points per game (4,170 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.1

    The Knicks averaged 21.8 assists per game (1,785 assists/82 games) last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.5

    Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Bucks averaged 115.4 points per game (9,461 points/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 110.0

    The Bucks had 22.9 free throw attempts per game last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

    The Bucks had an eFG% of 55% last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

    The Bucks had a TS% of 51% last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

    New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Knicks averaged 6.9 steals per game (566 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Knicks have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (764 blocks/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

    The Knicks averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,833 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Knicks averaged 4.9 blocks per game (399 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,709 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

    The Bucks averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,985 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Bucks have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (659 blocks/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

    The Bucks averaged 4.0 blocks per game (325 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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