- The Knicks (37-27) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Heat (33-30)
- Total (Over/Under): 216.5 points
- Friday, March 3, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
- Watch the game on BSSUN & MSG
The New York Knicks visit Miami-Dade Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Miami.
The Knicks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Knicks vs Heat Over/Under is 214.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Knicks are 36-26 against the spread, while the Heat are 23-38 against the spread.
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Knicks vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
New York Knicks | -2.5 -115 | O 214.5 -115 | -155 |
Miami Heat | +2.5 -105 | U 214.5 -115 | +125 |
Heat vs Knicks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Knicks will win Friday‘s game with 58.3% confidence.
Heat vs Knicks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Knicks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.4% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Knicks and Heat, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Knicks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The New York Knicks have covered the 1H Spread in 55 of their last 81 games (+28.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 52 of their last 83 games (+24.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 away games (+23.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 41 away games (+17.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have covered the 2Q Spread in 52 of their last 84 games (+16.82 Units / 18% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 64 games (+14.96 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 79 games (+14.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+11.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.57 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 81 games (+10.70 Units / 12% ROI)
New York Knicks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 36-26 (+7.45 Units / 10.58% ROI).
- 37-27 against the Moneyline (+9.5 Units / 9.85% ROI)
- 33-29 against the Over for game total points (+1.1 Units / 1.56% ROI)
- 29-33 against the Under for game total points (-7.3 Units / -10.37% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 23-38 (-18.8 Units / -27.13% ROI).
- 33-30 against the Moneyline (-16.4 Units / -13.64% ROI)
- 27-35 against the Over for game total points (-11.5 Units / -16.59% ROI)
- 35-27 against the Under for game total points (+5.3 Units / 7.65% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 99 games (-27.85 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 63 games (-24.17 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 20 of their last 53 games (-23.85 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 66 games (-23.34 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the Spread in 25 of their last 69 games (-21.20 Units / -28% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Knicks:
- The New York Knicks have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 84 games (-25.10 Units / -26% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 81 games (-23.86 Units / -26% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 74 games (-19.72 Units / -23% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 25 of their last 61 games (-18.22 Units / -24% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 74 games (-17.87 Units / -20% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the New York Knicks
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat
- New York Knicks Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- New York Knicks Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The New York Knicks are 30-11 (.732) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 10th-best among NBA teams. The Miami Heat have averaged 41.3 rebounds per game (2,436 rebounds/59 games) this season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.
The Knicks are 11-17 (.393) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .470
The Knicks are 23-7 (.767) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .597
The Knicks are 39-65 (.375) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks
The Heat are 45-14 (.763) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
The Heat are 29-13 (.690) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550
The Heat are 18-6 (.750) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .675
The Heat are 24-15 (.615) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
Injury Report: Heat vs. Knicks – Friday‘s Game, Mar. 3
- Kyle Lowry (Heat): The Heat have listed Lowry as OUT for Friday’s game (Mar. 3) against the Knicks.
- Nikola Jovic (Heat): Jovic has been out since Dec. 26 and remains without a timetable for return.
- Jimmy Butler (Heat): The Heat have listed Butler as QUESTIONABLE for Friday’s game (Mar. 3) against the Knicks.
- Omer Yurtseven (Heat): Yurtseven is making progress. His ankle is fully healed and the hope is that he’s able to return after the All-Star break, according to Barry Jackson of The Miami Herald.
- New York Knicks – No Injuries Reported
New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Knicks have averaged 8.6 second chance points per game (518 points/60 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7
The Knicks have averaged 17.3 second chance points per game (1,039 points/60 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7
The Knicks have averaged 21.9 assists per game (4,693 assists/214 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8
The Knicks have averaged 16.5 second chance points per game (461 points/28 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 51.4 points per game (3,033 points/59 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.0
The Heat have averaged 108.0 points per game (6,374 points/59 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Heat are shooting 32% from three (316/999) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Heat have averaged 52.4 points per game (7,395 points/141 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.9
New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Knicks have averaged 6.2 steals per game (373 steals/60 games) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Knicks have averaged 34.8 defensive rebounds per game (7,450 rebounds/214 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9
The Knicks have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (4,896 rebounds/142 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7
The Knicks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (943 steals/142 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (438 blocks/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 2.9 blocks per game (173 blocks/59 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (205 blocks/69 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (724 blocks/213 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
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