Knicks vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 12, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Lakers (33-34) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Knicks (39-30)
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Sunday, March 12, 2023 at 9:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on SportsNet LA & ESPN

The New York Knicks visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Knicks vs Lakers Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Knicks are 38-29 against the spread, while the Lakers are 33-32 against the spread.


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Knicks vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New York Knicks+2.5 -105O 225.5 -110+120
Los Angeles Lakers -2.5 -115U 225.5 -110-145

Lakers vs Knicks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Sunday‘s game with 56.5% confidence.

Lakers vs Knicks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Knicks and Lakers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The New York Knicks have covered the 1H Spread in 56 of their last 84 games (+27.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 51 of their last 79 games (+24.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 39 away games (+20.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the 2Q Spread in 40 of their last 62 games (+15.99 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 76 games (+13.46 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 4Q Spread in 40 of their last 55 games (+22.98 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 44 games (+17.17 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 55 games (+16.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 66 games (+13.68 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+12.67 Units / 39% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 38-29 (+6.15 Units / 8.1% ROI).

  • 39-30 against the Moneyline (+6.2 Units / 5.9% ROI)
  • 35-32 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.26% ROI)
  • 32-35 against the Under for game total points (-6.5 Units / -8.56% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 33-32 (-2.25 Units / -3.05% ROI).

  • 33-34 against the Moneyline (+7.45 Units / 8.81% ROI)
  • 33-33 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -4.48% ROI)
  • 33-33 against the Under for game total points (-3.3 Units / -4.48% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 80 games (-19.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 83 games (-15.86 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 31 games (-15.10 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 77 games (-13.25 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 68 games (-10.44 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 81 games (-23.90 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 79 games (-21.75 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 79 games (-21.06 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 27 of their last 66 games (-20.15 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 79 games (-19.69 Units / -21% ROI)

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New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The New York Knicks are 30-11 (.732) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 10th-best among NBA teams. The Miami Heat have averaged 41.3 rebounds per game (2,436 rebounds/59 games) this season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Knicks are 11-17 (.393) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .470

The Knicks are 23-7 (.767) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .597

The Knicks are 39-65 (.375) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Lakers are 16-18 (.471) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .530

The Lakers are 27-37 (.422) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Lakers are 26-49 (.347) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424

The Lakers are 19-32 (.373) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .490

Injury Report: Lakers vs. KnicksSunday‘s Game, Mar. 12

  • LeBron James (Lakers): The Lakers announced that James sustained a right foot tendon injury and will be re-evaluated in about three weeks.
  • Mo Bamba (Lakers): The Lakers announced that Bamba has a high left ankle sprain and will be re-evaluated in about four weeks.
  • Anthony Davis (Lakers): Davis is probable for Sunday’s (Mar. 12) game against New York.
  • Jalen Brunson (Knicks): Brunson did not play in Saturday’s game (Feb. 11) against the Clippers.

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 8.6 second chance points per game (518 points/60 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Knicks have averaged 17.3 second chance points per game (1,039 points/60 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

The Knicks have averaged 21.9 assists per game (4,693 assists/214 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8

The Knicks have averaged 16.5 second chance points per game (461 points/28 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (223 assists/ 105 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Lakers shot 35% from three (796/2,248) in the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Lakers have averaged 16.8 fast break points per game (1,008 points/60 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Lakers are shooting 48% (2,584/5,377) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 6.2 steals per game (373 steals/60 games) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Knicks have averaged 34.8 defensive rebounds per game (7,450 rebounds/214 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Knicks have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (4,896 rebounds/142 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Knicks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (943 steals/142 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,144 rebounds/60 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1

The Lakers have averaged 34.9 defensive rebounds per game (7,460 rebounds/214 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Lakers have averaged 6.5 steals per game (392 steals/60 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Lakers have blocked 1,089 shots since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.