New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 16

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 16, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Nuggets (4-3) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Knicks (3-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Wednesday, November 16, 2022 at 10:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on ALT & MSG

The New York Knicks visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Denver.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Knicks vs Nuggets Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Knicks are 6-7 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 6-7 against the spread.


Bet now on Nuggets vs Knicks and all NBA games with BetMGM


Knicks vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New York Knicks+3.5 -115O 225.5 -115120
Denver Nuggets -3.5 -105U 225.5 -115-145

Nuggets vs Knicks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 58.4% confidence.

Nuggets vs Knicks Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Knicks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Knicks and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


  • The New York Knicks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 67 games (+18.51 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 away games (+13.75 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the 1H Spread in 42 of their last 69 games (+13.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 41 away games (+11.47 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+11.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 85 games (+18.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 50 of their last 81 games (+18.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+14.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 58 games (+13.54 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 47 of their last 81 games (+11.10 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 6-7 (-1.65 Units / -10.75% ROI).

  • 7-7 against the Moneyline (-0.65 Units / -2.67% ROI)
  • 7-6 against the Over for game total points (+0.4 Units / 2.6% ROI)
  • 6-7 against the Under for game total points (-1.7 Units / -11.04% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 6-7 (-1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI).

  • 9-4 against the Moneyline (+2.6 Units / 8.15% ROI)
  • 7-6 against the Over for game total points (+0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI)
  • 6-7 against the Under for game total points (-1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 33 of their last 86 games (-42.51 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 85 games (-27.30 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 84 games (-24.77 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 86 games (-23.10 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 64 games (-22.22 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 79 games (-27.67 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 82 games (-17.75 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 60 games (-17.35 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 43 games (-15.42 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 42 games (-13.23 Units / -28% ROI)

Jump to:

New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The New York Knicks are 7-30 (.189) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Utah Jazz have averaged 46.1 rebounds per game (4,472 rebounds/97 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-highest among NBA teams.

The Knicks are 1-18 (.053) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .255

The Knicks are 6-41 (.128) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .296

The Knicks are 15-29 (.341) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .419

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Nuggets are 51-19 (.729) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568

The Nuggets are 33-11 (.750) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Nuggets are 28-15 (.651) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Nuggets are 17-6 (.739) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. KnicksWednesday‘s Game, Nov. 16

  • Bones Hyland (Nuggets): The Nuggets placed Hyland in the league’s health and safety protocols. He is doubtful for Wednesday’s (Nov. 16) game against New York.
  • Ish Smith (Nuggets): Smith is doubtful for Wednesday’s (Nov. 16) game against New York.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): The Nuggets announced that Gillespie is out indefinitely after undergoing surgery to repair a lower left leg fracture.
  • Nikola Jokic (Nuggets): The Nuggets placed Jokic in the league’s health and safety protocols.
  • Aaron Gordon (Nuggets): Gordon is questionable for Wednesday’s (Nov. 16) game against New York.
  • Mitchell Robinson (Knicks): Robinson will miss at least a week and will be re-evaluated in 7-10 days according to Fred Katz of the Athletic.

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks are shooting 42% (1,698/4,008) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Knicks have averaged 50.9 points per game (8,498 points/167 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.5

The Knicks are shooting 27% from three (55/206) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Knicks have averaged 1.18 points per shot (661 points/559 shots) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,136/4,216) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,791/7,476) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 44% from three (61/138) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets are shooting 42% from three (171/404) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (3,282 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Knicks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (1,163 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Knicks have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (449 rebounds/13 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Knicks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (589 steals/83 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (158 blocks/45 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (348 blocks/86 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (196 blocks/50 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (329 blocks/81 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


Bet now on Nuggets vs Knicks and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.