Knicks vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 05, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Knicks (46-33) are -8.5 favorites vs. the Pacers (34-45)
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Wednesday, April 5, 2023 at 7:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSIN & MSG

The New York Knicks visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Indianapolis.

The Knicks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Knicks vs Pacers Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Knicks are 44-33 against the spread, while the Pacers are 41-38 against the spread.


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Knicks vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New York Knicks-4.5 -110O 228.5 -115-185
Indiana Pacers +4.5 -110U 228.5 -115+150

Pacers vs Knicks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Knicks will win Wednesday‘s game with 67.1% confidence.

Pacers vs Knicks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Knicks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Knicks and Pacers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The New York Knicks have covered the 1H Spread in 51 of their last 82 games (+19.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 52 games (+17.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 51 of their last 82 games (+16.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 away games (+14.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the Spread in 35 of their last 56 games (+11.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 24 games at home (+14.20 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 45 of their last 74 games (+13.19 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 66 games (+13.01 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+12.15 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 74 games (+11.80 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 44-33 (+7.75 Units / 8.92% ROI).

  • 46-33 against the Moneyline (+7.85 Units / 5.98% ROI)
  • 41-36 against the Over for game total points (+1.4 Units / 1.61% ROI)
  • 36-41 against the Under for game total points (-9.1 Units / -10.47% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 41-38 (-0.8 Units / -0.92% ROI).

  • 34-45 against the Moneyline (+8.55 Units / 8.84% ROI)
  • 38-40 against the Over for game total points (-6 Units / -6.9% ROI)
  • 40-38 against the Under for game total points (-1.8 Units / -2.07% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 82 games (-33.15 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 61 games (-29.71 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 81 games (-24.35 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 61 games (-24.12 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 66 games (-22.40 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 71 games (-27.45 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 82 games (-18.55 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 63 games (-18.02 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 73 games (-17.94 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 79 games (-14.69 Units / -16% ROI)

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New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Knicks are 23-32 (.418) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

The Knicks are 1-15 (.062) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240

The Knicks are 28-49 (.364) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

The Knicks are 15-40 (.273) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .358

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Indiana Pacers are 9-37 (.196) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks made 14.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for second-highest among NBA teams.

The Indiana Pacers are 19-54 (.260) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks have averaged 55.9 rebounds per game (8,440 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-highest among NBA teams.

The Pacers are 18-35 (.340) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .450

The Pacers are 27-49 (.355) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

Injury Report: Pacers vs. KnicksWednesday‘s Game, Apr. 5

  • Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers): Haliburton is out for Wednesday’s (Apr.5) game against New York.
  • Chris Duarte (Pacers): Duarte is out for Wednesday’s (Apr.5) game against New York.
  • Kendall Brown (Pacers): Brown underwent surgery and is out indefinitely, according to Tony East of SI.com.
  • Myles Turner (Pacers): Turner is questionable for Wednesday’s (Apr.5) game against New York.
  • Julius Randle (Knicks): Randle is out for Wednesday’s (Apr. 5) and Friday’s (Apr. 7) games against Indiana and New Orleans.
  • DaQuan Jeffries (Knicks): Jeffries hasn’t played since Jan. 8 against the Clippers and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Duane Washington Jr. (Knicks): Washington Jr. hasn’t played since Jan. 26 against Dallas and remains without a timetable to return.
  • RJ Barrett (Knicks): Barrett is questionable for Wednesday (Apr.5) game against Indiana.

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 21.8 assists per game (4,893 assists/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8

The Knicks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,279 assists/ 1,473 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Knicks have averaged 22.3 assists per game (1,559 assists/70 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1

The Knicks have an eFG% of 51% in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 18.6 fast break points per game (1,282 points/69 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Pacers have averaged 16.0 fast break points per game (3,564 points/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9

The Pacers have averaged 10.1 fast break points per game (699 points/69 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pacers have averaged 17.7 fast break points per game (602 points/34 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,502 steals/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Knicks have averaged 6.1 steals per game (425 steals/70 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Knicks have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (5,611 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Knicks have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (8,324 rebounds/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (661 blocks/111 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Pacers have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,304 rebounds/69 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (1,331 blocks/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (414 blocks/69 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.