New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 06, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Raptors (16-22) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Knicks (21-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 217.5 points
  • Friday, January 6, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on & MSG

The New York Knicks visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Toronto.

The Raptors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Knicks vs Raptors Over/Under is 217.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Knicks are 20-17 against the spread, while the Raptors are 18-20 against the spread.


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Knicks vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New York Knicks+3.5 -105O 217.5 -105+140
Toronto Raptors -3.5 -115U 217.5 -105-165

Raptors vs Knicks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Raptors will win Friday‘s game with 58.0% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Knicks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Knicks and Raptors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The New York Knicks have covered the 1H Spread in 51 of their last 75 games (+25.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 41 of their last 65 games (+21.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 83 games (+19.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 66 games (+18.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 away games (+17.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 4Q Spread in 55 of their last 87 games (+19.48 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 54 of their last 91 games (+12.02 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 56 games (+11.96 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 56 games (+10.18 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 64 games (+8.47 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 20-17 (+1.35 Units / 3.15% ROI).

  • 21-18 against the Moneyline (+0.15 Units / 0.25% ROI)
  • 19-19 against the Over for game total points (-1.9 Units / -4.43% ROI)
  • 19-19 against the Under for game total points (-1.9 Units / -4.43% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 18-20 (-4 Units / -9.57% ROI).

  • 16-22 against the Moneyline (-15.45 Units / -22.26% ROI)
  • 19-18 against the Over for game total points (-0.8 Units / -1.91% ROI)
  • 18-19 against the Under for game total points (-2.9 Units / -6.94% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 71 games (-25.37 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 91 games (-19.47 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 90 games (-18.35 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 26 games (-17.25 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 71 games (-16.75 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 83 games (-30.20 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 68 games (-18.49 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 67 games (-18.39 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 83 games (-17.55 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 33 of their last 76 games (-13.84 Units / -15% ROI)

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New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The New York Knicks are 7-30 (.189) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Utah Jazz have averaged 46.1 rebounds per game (4,472 rebounds/97 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-highest among NBA teams.

The Knicks are 1-18 (.053) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .255

The Knicks are 6-41 (.128) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .296

The Knicks are 15-29 (.341) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .419

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Raptors are 22-4 (.846) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

The Raptors are 23-10 (.697) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Raptors are 13-19 (.406) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

The Raptors are 26-43 (.371) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

Injury Report: Raptors vs. KnicksFriday‘s Game, Jan. 6

  • Otto Porter Jr. (Raptors): Raptors coach Nick Nurse said Porter Jr. could return in about a month.
  • RJ Barrett (Knicks): Barrett is likely to miss “a week or so,” according to Stefan Bondy of the New York Daily News.

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks are shooting 42% (1,698/4,008) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Knicks have averaged 50.9 points per game (8,498 points/167 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.5

The Knicks are shooting 27% from three (55/206) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Knicks have averaged 1.18 points per shot (661 points/559 shots) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 20.7 fast break points per game (290 points/14 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Raptors have averaged 10.8 fast break points per game (151 points/14 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors have averaged 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,260 rebounds/96 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.3

The Raptors have averaged 9.9 fast break points per game (139 points/14 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (3,282 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Knicks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (1,163 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Knicks have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (449 rebounds/13 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Knicks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (589 steals/83 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 11.0 steals per game (154 steals/14 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Raptors have 154 steals this season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors have averaged 31.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,333 rebounds/168 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Raptors have averaged 8.9 steals per game (1,499 steals/168 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.