- The Heat (17-17) are -8.5 favorites vs. the Lakers (14-20)
- Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
- Wednesday, December 28, 2022 at 7:30pm EST
- Watch the game on BSSUN & SportsNet LA
The Los Angeles Lakers visit FTX Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).
The Lakers vs Heat Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 13-20 against the spread, while the Heat are 11-21 against the spread.
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Lakers vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Los Angeles Lakers | +8.5 -115 | O 227.5 -115 | +260 |
Miami Heat | -8.5 -105 | U 227.5 -115 | -350 |
Heat vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Wednesday‘s game with 68.8% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.7% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Lakers and Heat, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Lakers Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 77 games (+19.89 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games (+17.76 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 43 away games (+15.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 31 games (+13.84 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 39 games (+13.80 Units / 32% ROI)
Heat Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 59 of their last 96 games (+15.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games (+13.58 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 56 of their last 100 games (+10.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 49 games (+10.41 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.13 Units / 20% ROI)
Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 13-20 (-9.05 Units / -24.17% ROI).
- 14-20 against the Moneyline (-4.95 Units / -11.57% ROI)
- 21-13 against the Over for game total points (+6.7 Units / 17.91% ROI)
- 13-21 against the Under for game total points (-10.1 Units / -27.01% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 11-21 (-12.1 Units / -32.35% ROI).
- 17-17 against the Moneyline (-14.4 Units / -21.69% ROI)
- 16-17 against the Over for game total points (-2.7 Units / -7.22% ROI)
- 17-16 against the Under for game total points (-0.6 Units / -1.6% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Heat, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 100 games (-24.18 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 41 of their last 100 games (-20.60 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 68 games (-20.39 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 24 games (-18.89 Units / -55% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 37 games (-18.55 Units / -44% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Lakers, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 77 games (-30.48 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 76 games (-25.90 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 82 games (-23.00 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 82 games (-21.15 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 71 games (-19.35 Units / -24% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Lakers
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Los Angeles Lakers vs. Miami Heat
- Los Angeles Lakers Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Lakers are 11-25 (.306) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .555
The Lakers are 3-12 (.200) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .481
The Lakers are 5-8 (.385) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .479
The Lakers are 27-36 (.429) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers
The Heat are 45-18 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564
The Heat are 16-12 (.571) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Heat are 29-3 (.906) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744
The Heat are 13-8 (.619) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510
Injury Report: Heat vs. Lakers – Wednesday‘s Game, Dec. 28
- Bam Adebayo (Heat): Adebayo is questionable for Wednesday’s (Dec. 28) game against the Lakers.
- Omer Yurtseven (Heat): The Heat announced that Yurtseven underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated at a later date.
- Dewayne Dedmon (Heat): Dedmon is out for Wednesday’s (Dec. 28) game against the Lakers.
- Jimmy Butler (Heat): Butler is questionable for Wednesday’s (Dec. 28) game against the Lakers.
- Gabe Vincent (Heat): Vincent is questionable for Wednesday’s (Dec. 28) game against the Lakers.
- Caleb Martin (Heat): Martin is probable for Wednesday’s (Dec. 28) game against the Lakers.
- Udonis Haslem (Heat): Haslem is questionable for Wednesday’s (Dec. 28) game against the Lakers.
- Juan Toscano-Anderson (Lakers): The Lakers announced that Toscano-Anderson will miss about two weeks.
- Anthony Davis (Lakers): The Lakers announced that Davis is dealing with a stress injury in his right foot. The team announced that there is no timetable for his return.
Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers are shooting 31% from three (124/404) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Lakers are shooting 32% from three (67/208) in the first half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Lakers have made 9.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.2
The Lakers have averaged 55.5 points in the paint per game (722 points/13 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.9
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 41.0 points in the paint per game (1,802 points/44 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46.7
The Heat have averaged 45.5 points in the paint per game (592 points/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0
The Heat are shooting 87% from the free throw line (260/300) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Heat have averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (168 turnovers/13 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (284 blocks/49 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Lakers have blocked 867 shots since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th most among NBA teams
The Lakers have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (450 rebounds/13 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1
The Lakers have averaged 8.1 steals per game (396 steals/49 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 2.9 blocks per game (38 blocks/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (298 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (152 blocks/50 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (281 blocks/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
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