Lakers vs Heat Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 19

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FSUN | SPEC

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Miami, FL.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Lakers vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 40-29 against the spread, while the Heat are 40-28 against the spread.

Bet now on Heat vs Lakers and all NBA games with BetMGM

Lakers vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Heat vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Thursday‘s game with 66.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Heat.

Heat vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 64.8% confidence.

Bet now on Heat vs Lakers and all NBA games with BetMGM

Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in their last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 86% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+10.00 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1Q Spread in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.75 Units / 61% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 away games (+9.35 Units / 62% ROI)

Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 45 games (+15.10 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.20 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 games (+12.45 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games (+12.00 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+11.55 Units / 13% ROI)

Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 40-29 (+8.1 Units / 10.67% ROI).

• 44-25 against the Moneyline (+13.6 Units / 9.13% ROI)
• 36-32 against the Over for game total points (+0.8 Units / 1.05% ROI)
• 32-36 against the Under for game total points (-7.6 Units / -10.01% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 40-28 (+9.2 Units / 12.11% ROI).

• 38-31 against the Moneyline (+3.3 Units / 2.43% ROI)
• 36-31 against the Over for game total points (+1.9 Units / 2.5% ROI)
• 31-36 against the Under for game total points (-8.6 Units / -11.33% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-20.05 Units / -44% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games (-14.90 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 15 games (-13.65 Units / -56% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.35 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.80 Units / -22% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:

• The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.95 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 games (-17.85 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 35 games (-14.70 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.50 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 50 games (-13.90 Units / -17% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Lakers
• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Player Injuries for Los Angeles Lakers vs. Miami Heat
• Los Angeles Lakers Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Los Angeles Lakers Defensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Lakers are 13-2 (.867) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .639

The Lakers were 28-11 (.718) when they win the turnover margin last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .592

The Lakers are 51-5 (.911) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .807

The Lakers are 31-9 (.775) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Heat are 27-12 (.692) when they win the turnover margin this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .605

The Heat are 6-6 (.500) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .595

The Heat are 5-18 (.217) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Heat were 9-15 (.375) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 30.1 points in the paint per game (2,470 points/82 games) in the first half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Lakers have averaged 5.6 second chance points per game (1,315 points/233 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Lakers have averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (1,356 points/118 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Lakers have averaged 1.38 points per shot (4,065 points/2,951 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 61.8 points per game (4,201 points/68 games) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.0

The Heat have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,948 assists/ 949 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Heat have averaged 122.3 points per game (4,282 points/35 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.1

The Heat averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (943 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,880 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Lakers have averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,321 rebounds/69 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Lakers have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (291 blocks/69 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Lakers averaged 7.7 steals per game (633 steals/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (890 blocks/232 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (438 blocks/115 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Bet now on Heat vs Lakers and all NBA games with BetMGM

Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.