Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 09, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Nuggets (26-13) are -9.5 favorites vs. the Lakers (19-21)
  • Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
  • Monday, January 9, 2023 at 9:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on ALT & SportsNet LA

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-105).

The Lakers vs Nuggets Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 18-21 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 20-19 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers+13.5 -115O 237.5 -110+475
Denver Nuggets -13.5 -105U 237.5 -110-650

Nuggets vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Monday‘s game with 72.0% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.9% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Lakers and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 47 away games (+21.48 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 39 games (+20.58 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 37 games (+17.64 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 43 away games (+16.63 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 53 of their last 84 games (+18.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 87 games (+12.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games at home (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 47 of their last 79 games (+10.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 46 games at home (+9.70 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 18-21 (-5.15 Units / -11.69% ROI).

  • 19-21 against the Moneyline (+3.6 Units / 7.38% ROI)
  • 24-16 against the Over for game total points (+6.4 Units / 14.55% ROI)
  • 16-24 against the Under for game total points (-10.4 Units / -23.64% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 20-19 (-0.9 Units / -2.1% ROI).

  • 26-13 against the Moneyline (+6.15 Units / 6.54% ROI)
  • 20-19 against the Over for game total points (-0.9 Units / -2.1% ROI)
  • 19-20 against the Under for game total points (-3 Units / -6.99% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 88 games (-30.38 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 36 of their last 76 games (-24.93 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 87 games (-21.10 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 87 games (-20.35 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 85 games (-18.63 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 82 games (-29.81 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 77 games (-24.20 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 82 games (-21.55 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 43 away games (-21.19 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-20.90 Units / -23% ROI)

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Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Lakers are 11-25 (.306) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Lakers are 3-12 (.200) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .481

The Lakers are 5-8 (.385) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .479

The Lakers are 27-36 (.429) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Nuggets are 51-19 (.729) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568

The Nuggets are 33-11 (.750) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Nuggets are 28-15 (.651) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Nuggets are 17-6 (.739) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. LakersMonday‘s Game, Jan. 9

  • Peyton Watson (Nuggets): Watson will be sidelined for a “couple weeks” with an adductor strain, according to Harrison Wind of TheDNVR.com.
  • Jeff Green (Nuggets): Green is dealing with fractured left hand and sprained finger and will be re-evaluated in a month, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Austin Reaves (Lakers): The Lakers announced that Reaves will be re-evaluated in two weeks as he deals with a left hamstring strain.
  • Lonnie Walker IV (Lakers): The Lakers announced that Walker IV will be re-evaluated in two weeks as he deals with left knee tendinitis.
  • Russell Westbrook (Lakers): Westbrook is probable for Monday’s (Jan. 9) game against Denver.
  • LeBron James (Lakers): James is probable for Monday’s (Jan. 9) game against Denver.
  • Troy Brown Jr. (Lakers): Brown Jr. is questionable for Monday’s (Jan. 9) game against Denver.
  • Anthony Davis (Lakers): The Lakers announced that Davis is dealing with a stress injury in his right foot. The team announced that there is no timetable for his return.

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers are shooting 31% from three (124/404) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Lakers are shooting 32% from three (67/208) in the first half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Lakers have made 9.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.2

The Lakers have averaged 55.5 points in the paint per game (722 points/13 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.9

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,136/4,216) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,791/7,476) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 44% from three (61/138) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets are shooting 42% from three (171/404) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (284 blocks/49 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Lakers have blocked 867 shots since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Lakers have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (450 rebounds/13 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1

The Lakers have averaged 8.1 steals per game (396 steals/49 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (158 blocks/45 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (348 blocks/86 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (196 blocks/50 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (329 blocks/81 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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