Lakers vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Lakers (25-28) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans (26-27)
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Saturday, February 4, 2023 at 6:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSNO & SportsNet LA

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in New Orleans.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Lakers vs Pelicans Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 25-26 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 24-28 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers+1.5 -110O 232.5 -110+105
New Orleans Pelicans -1.5 -110U 232.5 -110-125

Pelicans vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Saturday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.

Pelicans vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Lakers and Pelicans, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 52 games (+20.44 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 41 games (+19.77 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 games (+17.84 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 2Q Spread in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.02 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 games (+13.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 45 games (+19.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 52 of their last 88 games (+12.78 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 49 games (+10.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 43 games (+9.87 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.81 Units / 57% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 25-26 (-3.65 Units / -6.26% ROI).

  • 25-28 against the Moneyline (+4.5 Units / 6.76% ROI)
  • 28-25 against the Over for game total points (+0.5 Units / 0.86% ROI)
  • 25-28 against the Under for game total points (-5.8 Units / -9.95% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 24-28 (-6.8 Units / -11.67% ROI).

  • 26-27 against the Moneyline (-8.8 Units / -9.4% ROI)
  • 29-24 against the Over for game total points (+2.6 Units / 4.46% ROI)
  • 24-29 against the Under for game total points (-7.9 Units / -13.55% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 47 games (-25.59 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 92 games (-24.03 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 44 games (-20.66 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 44 games (-17.97 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 87 games (-17.75 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 74 games (-22.90 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 81 games (-18.95 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 43 away games (-18.39 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 44 away games (-18.03 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 80 games (-16.45 Units / -19% ROI)

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Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Los Angeles Lakers are 6-23 (.207) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The LA Clippers has shot 37% from three (1,657/4,430) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams.

The Lakers are 18-29 (.383) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .490

The Lakers are 3-30 (.091) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .230

The Lakers are 10-15 (.400) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .527

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Pelicans are 33-90 (.268) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .320

The Pelicans are 10-34 (.227) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .314

The Pelicans are 7-13 (.350) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .473

The Pelicans are 24-42 (.364) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .422

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. LakersSaturday‘s Game, Feb. 4

  • E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that E.J. Liddell tore his right ACL and will miss most of the season.
  • Zion Williamson (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that Williamson will be re-evaluated again in two weeks.
  • Dyson Daniels (Pelicans): Pelicans coach Willie Green said that Daniels will be out for a little bit of time, according to Erin Summers of Bally Sports New Orleans.
  • Austin Reaves (Lakers): Reaves will be re-evaluated on Thursday (Feb. 2), according to Jovan Buha of The Athletic.
  • LeBron James (Lakers): James is questionable for Saturday’s (Feb.4) game against New Orleans.
  • Anthony Davis (Lakers): Davis is probable for Saturday’s (Feb.4) game against New Orleans.

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (159 assists/ 69 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Lakers have made 10.4 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Lakers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (4,915 assists/ 2,837 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Lakers averaged 109.5 points per game (7,887 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (2,552 free throw attempts/8,947 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

The Pelicans have averaged 52.1 points in the paint per game (10,472 points/201 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.0

The Pelicans have 25.8 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.8

The Pelicans shot 35% from three (762/2,190) in the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,674 rebounds/47 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Lakers have averaged 34.8 defensive rebounds per game (6,990 rebounds/201 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Lakers have blocked 648 shots since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th most among NBA teams

The Lakers have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (358 blocks/64 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have 409 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Pelicans have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (202 blocks/47 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pelicans have averaged 8.7 steals per game (409 steals/47 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,634 steals/201 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.