Lakers vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 1

• The Rockets are -3.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
• Total (Over/Under): 205.5 points
• Watch the game on Amazon

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 pm in Houston, TX.

The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Lakers vs Rockets Over/Under is 205.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 49-38 against the spread, while the Rockets are 38-49 against the spread.

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Lakers vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rockets vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Rockets.

Rockets vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

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Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games (+17.25 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games (+15.65 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 away games (+10.80 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.40 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+9.35 Units / 13% ROI)

Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 35 games (+18.10 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 35 games (+15.45 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.35 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 19 games at home (+9.15 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)

Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 49-38 (+7.2 Units / 7.52% ROI).

• 56-31 against the Moneyline (+21.25 Units / 10.08% ROI)
• 43-42 against the Over for game total points (-3.2 Units / -3.34% ROI)
• 42-43 against the Under for game total points (-5.3 Units / -5.54% ROI)

Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 38-49 (-15.85 Units / -16.57% ROI).

• 54-33 against the Moneyline (-26.55 Units / -8.2% ROI)
• 40-46 against the Over for game total points (-10.57 Units / -11.05% ROI)
• 46-40 against the Under for game total points (+2 Units / 2.09% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:

• The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1Q Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.45 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 games (-19.90 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.40 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 35 games (-16.60 Units / -32% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 games (-14.05 Units / -27% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:

• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 45 games (-23.60 Units / -46% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 40 games (-17.90 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.75 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 games (-13.30 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 35 away games (-12.45 Units / -31% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Lakers
• Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
• Player Injuries for Los Angeles Lakers vs. Houston Rockets
• Los Angeles Lakers Offensive stats
• Houston Rockets Offensive stats
• Los Angeles Lakers Defensive stats
• Houston Rockets Defensive stats

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Lakers are 28-7 (.800) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .534

The Lakers are 13-7 (.650) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The Lakers are 15-2 (.882) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .636

The Lakers are winless (0-20) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .084

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Rockets are 7-1 (.875) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The Rockets are 16-4 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .624

The Rockets are 14-1 (.933) when their eFG is 60% or better this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .856

The Rockets are 19-4 (.826) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 5.6 second chance points per game (1,379 points/246 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Lakers are shooting 51% (1,747/3,428) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Lakers have averaged 1.38 points per shot (4,835 points/3,498 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Lakers are shooting 50% (3,448/6,863) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 20.8 offensive rebounds per game (5,125 rebounds/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0

The Rockets have averaged 22.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,814 rebounds/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.9

The Rockets have averaged 17.9 second chance points per game (2,940 points/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6

The Rockets have averaged 22.3 offensive rebounds per game (3,658 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.4

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (351 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Lakers have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Lakers have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (718 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Lakers have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (379 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 35.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,913 rebounds/82 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Rockets have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (466 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Rockets have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (8,844 rebounds/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Rockets have averaged 8.4 steals per game (1,028 steals/123 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

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