Lakers vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 2

• The Thunder are -9.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
• Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
• Watch the game on Amazon | SPEC

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 pm in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The Lakers vs Thunder Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 43-33 against the spread, while the Thunder are 35-41 against the spread.

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Lakers vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Thunder vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Thursday‘s game with 77.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Thunder.

Thunder vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

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Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 18 games (+15.10 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 away games (+11.35 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 15 away games (+10.70 Units / 63% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 14 away games (+9.75 Units / 60% ROI)

Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 20 games (+16.15 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.25 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+8.10 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.10 Units / 14% ROI)

Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 43-33 (+6.7 Units / 8.01% ROI).

• 50-26 against the Moneyline (+18.7 Units / 9.83% ROI)
• 39-36 against the Over for game total points (-0.6 Units / -0.72% ROI)
• 36-39 against the Under for game total points (-6.9 Units / -8.25% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 35-41 (-10.1 Units / -12.08% ROI).

• 60-16 against the Moneyline (-0.05 Units / -0.01% ROI)
• 39-37 against the Over for game total points (-1.7 Units / -2.03% ROI)
• 37-39 against the Under for game total points (-5.9 Units / -7.06% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games at home (-37.95 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (-32.95 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (-19.30 Units / -18% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games at home (-17.50 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games at home (-16.80 Units / -29% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:

• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 45 games (-21.40 Units / -32% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.35 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.75 Units / -27% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (-15.60 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 games (-13.40 Units / -29% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Lakers
• Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
• Player Injuries for Los Angeles Lakers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Los Angeles Lakers Offensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
• Los Angeles Lakers Defensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Lakers are 16-1 (.941) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .718

The Lakers are 13-2 (.867) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .636

The Lakers are winless (0-18) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .084

The Lakers are 12-5 (.706) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .400

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Thunder are 87-14 (.861) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Thunder are 96-14 (.873) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .598

The Thunder are 127-33 (.794) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Thunder are 26-7 (.788) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .445

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 1.38 points per shot (4,504 points/3,260 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Lakers are shooting 51% (1,629/3,193) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Lakers have averaged 1.39 points per shot (8,878 points/6,378 shots) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Lakers have averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (1,386 points/121 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 12.1 turnovers per game (1,918 turnovers/158 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Thunder have averaged 12.6 turnovers per game (957 turnovers/76 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Thunder have averaged 11.8 turnovers per game (954 turnovers/81 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Thunder have averaged 14.8 offensive rebounds per game (3,548 rebounds/240 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,572 rebounds/76 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Lakers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (330 blocks/76 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Lakers have allowed 16.4 offensive rebounds per game (1,250 rebounds/76 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 17.9

The Lakers have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (442/1,332) at home this season — tied for best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 10.8 steals per game (871 steals/81 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (779 blocks/122 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Thunder have averaged 9.8 steals per game (1,194 steals/122 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (6,027/13,845) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

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