Lakers vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 5

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  • The Thunder are -15.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
  • Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBC | PEAC

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).

The Lakers vs Thunder Over/Under is 214.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 50-38 against the spread, while the Thunder are 41-45 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers+15.5 -110O 214.5 -115+625
Oklahoma City Thunder -15.5 -110U 214.5 -105-1000

Thunder vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Tuesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Thunder.

Thunder vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 away games (+11.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 21 away games (+10.25 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 away games (+6.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • No trends found

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 50-38 (+8.2 Units / 8.47% ROI).

  • 57-31 against the Moneyline (+22.85 Units / 10.79% ROI)
  • 43-43 against the Over for game total points (-4.3 Units / -4.44% ROI)
  • 43-43 against the Under for game total points (-4.3 Units / -4.44% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 41-45 (-8.5 Units / -8.99% ROI).

  • 68-18 against the Moneyline (+3.95 Units / 0.66% ROI)
  • 46-40 against the Over for game total points (+2 Units / 2.11% ROI)
  • 40-46 against the Under for game total points (-10.6 Units / -11.21% ROI)
  • No trends found
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 40 away games (-14.05 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 away games (-13.80 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 40 away games (-12.25 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 40 away games (-11.90 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 35 away games (-11.30 Units / -22% ROI)

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Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Lakers are 28-7 (.800) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .534

The Lakers are 47-22 (.681) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

The Lakers are 26-15 (.634) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

The Lakers are 38-13 (.745) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Thunder are 90-14 (.865) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Thunder are 82-8 (.911) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .648

The Thunder are 113-15 (.883) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .575

The Thunder are 98-15 (.867) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .599

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 1.39 points per shot (9,540 points/6,863 shots) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Lakers are shooting 51% (1,747/3,428) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Lakers have a 29% free throw rate (6,079 free throw attempts/21,046 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

The Lakers have averaged 5.6 second chance points per game (1,379 points/246 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 12.1 turnovers per game (1,992 turnovers/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Thunder have a TS% of 54% since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have averaged 12.6 turnovers per game (1,031 turnovers/82 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Thunder are shooting 82% from the free throw line (4,377/5,336) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Lakers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (351 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Lakers have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (477/1,447) at home this season — tied for best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Lakers have allowed 16.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,357 rebounds/82 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 17.9

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.8 steals per game (1,223 steals/125 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (2,337 steals/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have averaged 10.7 steals per game (900 steals/84 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (9,607/21,699) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.