Lakers vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 7

• The Thunder are -14.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
• Total (Over/Under): 210.5 points
• Watch the game on Amazon

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 pm in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-115).

The Lakers vs Thunder Over/Under is 210.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 50-39 against the spread, while the Thunder are 42-45 against the spread.

Bet now on Thunder vs Lakers and all NBA games with BetMGM

Lakers vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Thunder vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Thursday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Thunder.

Thunder vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

Bet now on Thunder vs Lakers and all NBA games with BetMGM

Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games (+17.25 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.15 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.55 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 away games (+10.90 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+9.60 Units / 14% ROI)

Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 30 games (+20.15 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games (+9.45 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.85 Units / 70% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+7.65 Units / 11% ROI)

Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 50-39 (+7.1 Units / 7.25% ROI).

• 57-32 against the Moneyline (+21.85 Units / 10.27% ROI)
• 43-44 against the Over for game total points (-5.4 Units / -5.52% ROI)
• 44-43 against the Under for game total points (-3.3 Units / -3.37% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 42-45 (-7.5 Units / -7.84% ROI).

• 69-18 against the Moneyline (+4.95 Units / 0.82% ROI)
• 46-41 against the Over for game total points (+0.9 Units / 0.94% ROI)
• 41-46 against the Under for game total points (-9.6 Units / -10.03% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 games at home (-13.16 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 45 games (-12.90 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 30 games at home (-12.70 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 games at home (-12.70 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 40 games at home (-12.05 Units / -26% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:

• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 45 games (-21.45 Units / -41% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 40 games (-17.75 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 40 away games (-13.95 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 30 away games (-13.45 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-12.90 Units / -23% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Lakers
• Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
• Player Injuries for Los Angeles Lakers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Los Angeles Lakers Offensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
• Los Angeles Lakers Defensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Lakers are 28-7 (.800) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .534

The Lakers are 15-2 (.882) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .636

The Lakers are 19-4 (.826) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Lakers are 29-10 (.744) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Thunder are 113-15 (.883) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .575

The Thunder are 74-20 (.787) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Thunder are 90-14 (.865) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Thunder are 28-9 (.757) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .441

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 1.39 points per shot (9,540 points/6,863 shots) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Lakers have averaged 5.6 second chance points per game (1,379 points/246 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Lakers have averaged 1.41 points per shot (4,837 points/3,428 shots) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Lakers have a 29% free throw rate (6,079 free throw attempts/21,046 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 12.6 turnovers per game (1,031 turnovers/82 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Thunder have averaged 12.3 turnovers per game (3,031 turnovers/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Thunder have averaged 12.1 turnovers per game (1,992 turnovers/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Thunder are shooting 82% from the free throw line (4,377/5,336) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have allowed 16.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,357 rebounds/82 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 17.9

The Lakers have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Lakers have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (339 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Lakers have averaged 7.8 steals per game (968 steals/124 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.8 steals per game (1,223 steals/125 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have averaged 10.7 steals per game (900 steals/84 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (2,337 steals/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (799 blocks/125 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Bet now on Thunder vs Lakers and all NBA games with BetMGM

Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.