Lakers vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 31

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 31, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Timberwolves (39-38) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Lakers (38-38)
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Friday, March 31, 2023 at 8:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSN & SportsNet LA

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Lakers vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 37-37 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 37-40 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers-2.5 -110O 232.5 -110-140
Minnesota Timberwolves +2.5 -110U 232.5 -110+115

Timberwolves vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Friday‘s game with 54.1% confidence.

Timberwolves vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 54.1% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Lakers and Timberwolves, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 4Q Spread in 47 of their last 64 games (+27.73 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 53 games (+21.91 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 64 games (+14.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 75 games (+11.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 83 games (+21.53 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 54 games (+19.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 53 of their last 83 games (+19.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1H Spread in 35 of their last 53 games (+15.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 53 games (+15.20 Units / 26% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 37-37 (-3.8 Units / -4.54% ROI).

  • 38-38 against the Moneyline (+5.85 Units / 5.89% ROI)
  • 37-38 against the Over for game total points (-4.8 Units / -5.74% ROI)
  • 38-37 against the Under for game total points (-2.7 Units / -3.23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 37-40 (-7 Units / -8.26% ROI).

  • 39-38 against the Moneyline (-5.35 Units / -4.18% ROI)
  • 37-40 against the Over for game total points (-7 Units / -8.26% ROI)
  • 40-37 against the Under for game total points (-0.7 Units / -0.83% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 30 of their last 88 games (-43.79 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 89 games (-32.47 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 89 games (-19.50 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 84 games (-18.90 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games at home (-14.55 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 40 games (-16.60 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 81 games (-16.34 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 82 games (-14.50 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 77 games (-14.17 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 83 games (-11.60 Units / -12% ROI)

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Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Los Angeles Lakers are 9-22 (.290) when losing the rebounding margin this season — eighth-worst among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 51.9 rebounds per game (3,528 rebounds/68 games) this season — 10th-highest among NBA teams.

The Lakers are winless (0-15) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .120

The Lakers are 31-66 (.320) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .350

The Lakers are 7-27 (.206) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .276

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Minnesota Timberwolves are 23-34 (.404) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Chicago Bulls have averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (1,990 turnovers/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Timberwolves are 20-64 (.238) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .277

The Timberwolves are 12-58 (.171) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .227

The Timberwolves are 23-34 (.404) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. LakersFriday‘s Game, Mar. 31

  • Taurean Prince (Timberwolves): Prince is questionable for Friday’s (Mar.31) game against Los Angeles.
  • Austin Rivers (Timberwolves): Rivers is questionable for Friday’s (Mar.31) game against Los Angeles.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): Towns is probable for Friday’s (Mar.31) game against Los Angeles.
  • Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves): Edwards is probable for Friday’s (Mar.31) game against Los Angeles.
  • Naz Reid (Timberwolves): Reid is questionable for Friday’s (Mar.31) game against Los Angeles.
  • Kyle Anderson (Timberwolves): Anderson is probable for Friday’s (Mar.31) game against Los Angeles.
  • Jaylen Nowell (Timberwolves): Nowell is questionable for Friday’s (Mar.31) game against Los Angeles.
  • Matt Ryan (Timberwolves): Ryan is questionable for Friday’s (Mar.31) game against Los Angeles.
  • LeBron James (Lakers): James is questionable for Friday’s (Mar.31) game against Minnesota.
  • Mo Bamba (Lakers): The Lakers announced that Bamba has a high left ankle sprain and will be re-evaluated in about four weeks.
  • Anthony Davis (Lakers): Davis is probable for Friday’s (Mar.31) game against Minnesota.

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (261 assists/ 126 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.5

The Lakers averaged 109.5 points per game (7,887 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Lakers shot 35% from three (796/2,248) in the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Lakers have made 10.6 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have a TS% of 52% this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves shot 35% from three (944/2,706) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,800 assists/ 1,087 TOs) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 15.0 fast break points per game (1,049 points/70 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,590 rebounds/68 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,609 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Lakers have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (8,261 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Lakers have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (1,123 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.6 steals per game (1,928 steals/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (1,245 blocks/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.5 steals per game (1,296 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves have 575 steals this season — 5th most among NBA teams


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