Lakers vs Warriors Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Feb. 28

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on ABC

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in San Francisco, CA.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Lakers vs Warriors Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 30-28 against the spread, while the Warriors are 27-32 against the spread.

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Lakers vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Warriors vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Saturday‘s game with 55.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Warriors.

Warriors vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 54.9% confidence.

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Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.55 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.75 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.45 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 7 away games (+7.35 Units / 71% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+6.90 Units / 25% ROI)

Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 17 games at home (+12.60 Units / 62% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.20 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.20 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.10 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)

Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 30-28 (-0.8 Units / -1.25% ROI).

• 34-24 against the Moneyline (+3.6 Units / 2.95% ROI)
• 31-26 against the Over for game total points (+2.4 Units / 3.76% ROI)
• 26-31 against the Under for game total points (-8.1 Units / -12.7% ROI)

Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 27-32 (-8.2 Units / -12.63% ROI).

• 31-28 against the Moneyline (-10.75 Units / -7.88% ROI)
• 35-24 against the Over for game total points (+8.6 Units / 13.25% ROI)
• 24-35 against the Under for game total points (-14.5 Units / -22.34% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:

• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games at home (-20.10 Units / -14% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-20.05 Units / -35% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 games (-19.50 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 45 games at home (-16.65 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 35 games at home (-14.20 Units / -36% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:

• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 45 games (-23.60 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 50 games (-22.30 Units / -38% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 games (-20.60 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 40 games (-19.15 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.05 Units / -33% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Lakers
• Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
• Player Injuries for Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors
• Los Angeles Lakers Offensive stats
• Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
• Los Angeles Lakers Defensive stats
• Golden State Warriors Defensive stats

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Lakers are 30-19 (.612) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .494

The Lakers are 16-12 (.571) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .470

The Lakers are 1-7 (.125) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .243

The Lakers are 26-9 (.743) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Warriors are 6-2 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .593

The Warriors were 8-16 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Warriors are 24-19 (.558) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .449

The Warriors were 46-32 (.590) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .495

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers have a 33% free throw rate (821 free throw attempts/2,512 field goal attempts) on the road this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

The Lakers have averaged 1.41 points per shot (3,290 points/2,333 shots) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Lakers have averaged 1.38 points per shot (3,419 points/2,471 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 21.1 points in the paint per game (1,246 points/59 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

The Warriors have made 15.1 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Warriors have made 15.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Warriors shot 43% (431/1,011) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,956 rebounds/58 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Lakers averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,880 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Lakers have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (235 blocks/58 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 10.3 steals per game (720 steals/70 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Warriors averaged 9.4 steals per game (771 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Warriors have averaged 9.7 steals per game (1,361 steals/141 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Warriors have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,014 rebounds/59 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

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