- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on FSUN | FDFL
The Orlando Magic visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Miami, FL.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Magic vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Magic are 17-28 against the spread, while the Heat are 26-20 against the spread.
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Magic vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orlando Magic | O | ||
| Miami Heat | U |
Heat vs Magic Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Wednesday‘s game with 66.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Magic and Heat.
Heat vs Magic Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Magic will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 61.7% confidence.
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Magic Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Orlando Magic have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 away games (+9.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 away games (+8.80 Units / 56% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+12.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+11.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+6.95 Units / 16% ROI)
Orlando Magic Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 17-28 (-13.8 Units / -27.88% ROI).
- 23-22 against the Moneyline (-10.45 Units / -12.07% ROI)
- 22-23 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -6.67% ROI)
- 23-22 against the Under for game total points (-1.2 Units / -2.42% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 26-20 (+4 Units / 7.74% ROI).
- 25-22 against the Moneyline (+2.9 Units / 3.85% ROI)
- 24-22 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.39% ROI)
- 22-24 against the Under for game total points (-4.4 Units / -8.51% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 30 games (-19.65 Units / -50% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 40 games (-18.25 Units / -39% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-17.73 Units / -39% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-15.84 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 games (-13.60 Units / -30% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Magic:
- The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.85 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have only covered the 2H Spread in 14 of their last 40 away games (-15.50 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have only covered the Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.10 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have only hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 24 games (-14.75 Units / -53% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 40 away games (-14.10 Units / -26% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Orlando Magic
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Orlando Magic vs. Miami Heat
- Orlando Magic Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Orlando Magic Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Magic were 2-10 (.167) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .354
The Magic were 4-15 (.211) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers in the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353
The Magic were 20-9 (.690) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Magic are 8-1 (.889) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic
The Heat are 14-8 (.636) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .521
The Heat were 28-14 (.667) when they win the turnover margin in the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Heat are 6-21 (.222) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .391
The Heat were 9-15 (.375) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545
Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends
The Magic shot 31% from three (456/1,458) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Magic shot 32% from three (921/2,892) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Magic are shooting 26% from three (54/206) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Magic shot 32% from three (466/1,452) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Heat have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (1,343 assists/ 670 TOs) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Heat have averaged 10.4 fast break points per game (491 points/47 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends
The Magic averaged 6.0 blocks per game (488 blocks/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Magic have allowed 11.1 made three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.0
The Magic have allowed 6.0 second chance points per game (1,248 points/209 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.2
The Magic allowed 11.4 made three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.5
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (795 blocks/211 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,730 rebounds/47 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (392 blocks/104 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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