- The Nuggets (29-13) are -10.5 favorites vs. the Magic (16-27)
- Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
- Sunday, January 15, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
- Watch the game on ALT & BSFL
The Orlando Magic visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Denver.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).
The Magic vs Nuggets Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Magic are 23-18 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 22-19 against the spread.
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Magic vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Orlando Magic | +10.5 -105 | O 233.5 -115 | +400 |
Denver Nuggets | -10.5 -115 | U 233.5 -115 | -550 |
Nuggets vs Magic Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Sunday‘s game with 74.2% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Magic will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 52.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Magic and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Magic Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Orlando Magic have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+19.25 Units / 96% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 35 games (+16.34 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games (+15.33 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have covered the 1Q Spread in 37 of their last 63 games (+9.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 away games (+9.79 Units / 30% ROI)
Nuggets Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 54 of their last 87 games (+16.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 15 games at home (+12.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.57 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 49 of their last 82 games (+11.55 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 47 of their last 82 games (+9.95 Units / 11% ROI)
Orlando Magic Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 23-18 (+3.25 Units / 6.88% ROI).
- 16-27 against the Moneyline (+10.8 Units / 23.28% ROI)
- 22-21 against the Over for game total points (-1.1 Units / -2.33% ROI)
- 21-22 against the Under for game total points (-3.2 Units / -6.77% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 22-19 (+1.1 Units / 2.38% ROI).
- 29-13 against the Moneyline (+9.85 Units / 8.67% ROI)
- 20-22 against the Over for game total points (-4.2 Units / -9.09% ROI)
- 22-20 against the Under for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Nuggets, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 87 games (-29.38 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 38 of their last 79 games (-25.53 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 89 games (-20.55 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 65 games (-19.82 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 88 games (-18.29 Units / -16% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Magic, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 56 games (-20.85 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 82 games (-17.55 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 71 games (-16.52 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 63 games (-13.80 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 64 games (-13.69 Units / -19% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Orlando Magic
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Orlando Magic vs. Denver Nuggets
- Orlando Magic Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Orlando Magic Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Magic are 10-38 (.208) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451
The Magic are 1-25 (.038) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .198
The Magic are 13-25 (.342) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .539
The Magic are 9-32 (.220) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .427
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic
The Nuggets are 51-19 (.729) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568
The Nuggets are 33-11 (.750) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548
The Nuggets are 28-15 (.651) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Nuggets are 17-6 (.739) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510
Injury Report: Nuggets vs. Magic – Sunday‘s Game, Jan. 15
- Peyton Watson (Nuggets): Watson will be sidelined for a couple weeks, according to Harrison Wind of TheDNVR.com.
- Vlatko Cancar (Nuggets): Cancar is probable for Sunday’s (Jan. 15) game against Orlando.
- Jeff Green (Nuggets): Green is dealing with fractured left hand and sprained finger and will be re-evaluated in a month, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
- Jamal Murray (Nuggets): Murray is probable for Sunday’s (Jan. 15) game against Orlando.
- Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): The Nuggets announced that Gillespie is out indefinitely after undergoing surgery to repair a lower left leg fracture.
- Jonathan Isaac (Magic): Isaac will play a game for the Magic’s G League affiliate as he prepares to return in the near future, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
- Gary Harris (Magic): Harris is questionable for Sunday’s (Jan. 14) game against Denver.
- Chuma Okeke (Magic): Okeke underwent an arthroscopic procedure on his knee and is expected to be out at least a month, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends
The Magic are shooting 43% (3,210/7,483) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Magic are shooting 43% (6,411/14,735) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Magic have averaged 1.18 points per shot (17,452 points/14,735 shots) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26
The Magic have averaged 1.17 points per shot (8,563 points/7,317 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.25
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,136/4,216) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,791/7,476) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets are shooting 44% from three (61/138) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Nuggets are shooting 42% from three (171/404) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends
The Magic have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (473 rebounds/13 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3
The Magic have averaged 6.6 steals per game (629 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Magic have averaged 5.8 steals per game (75 steals/13 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Magic have averaged 6.5 steals per game (305 steals/47 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (158 blocks/45 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (348 blocks/86 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (196 blocks/50 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (329 blocks/81 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
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