Orlando Magic vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 21, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Pacers (9-6) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Magic (5-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Monday, November 21, 2022 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSIN & BSFL

The Orlando Magic visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Indianapolis.

The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Magic vs Pacers Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Magic are 8-8 against the spread, while the Pacers are 10-5 against the spread.


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Magic vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orlando Magic+6.5 -110O 226.5 -110200
Indiana Pacers -6.5 -110U 226.5 -110-250

Pacers vs Magic Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Monday‘s game with 67.6% confidence.

Pacers vs Magic Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Magic will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Magic and Pacers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 1Q Spread in 23 of their last 37 games (+8.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.74 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 away games (+7.10 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 52 of their last 79 games (+25.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 42 games at home (+18.90 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 54 games (+17.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 79 games (+15.11 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 68 games (+13.35 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 8-8 (-0.8 Units / -4.28% ROI).

  • 5-12 against the Moneyline (-0.1 Units / -0.56% ROI)
  • 9-8 against the Over for game total points (+0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI)
  • 8-9 against the Under for game total points (-1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 10-5 (+4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 9-6 against the Moneyline (+7.95 Units / 41.41% ROI)
  • 8-7 against the Over for game total points (+0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI)
  • 7-8 against the Under for game total points (-1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 79 games (-33.15 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 77 games (-32.30 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 74 games (-27.40 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 78 games (-25.90 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 54 games (-25.45 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 82 games (-19.71 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 78 games (-19.30 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 69 games (-16.75 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 82 games (-15.88 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 59 games (-14.34 Units / -23% ROI)

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Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Magic are 10-38 (.208) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Magic are 1-25 (.038) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .198

The Magic are 13-25 (.342) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Magic are 9-32 (.220) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .427

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic

The Pacers are 10-30 (.250) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454

The Pacers are 5-14 (.263) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

The Pacers are 11-22 (.333) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .494

The Pacers are 4-32 (.111) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .199

Injury Report: Pacers vs. MagicMonday‘s Game, Nov. 21

  • Daniel Theis (Pacers): Theis has yet to play this season and the Pacers haven’t provided an update on his return.
  • Andrew Nembhard (Pacers): Nembhard is questionable for Monday’s (Nov. 21) game against Orlando.
  • Chris Duarte (Pacers): Duarte is expected to miss 4-6 weeks with a grade 2 ankle sprain, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Jonathan Isaac (Magic): Isaac has yet to play in the preseason as he recovers from knee and leg injuries.
  • Wendell Carter Jr. (Magic): Carter Jr. is questionable for Monday’s (Nov. 21) game against Indiana.
  • Cole Anthony (Magic): The Magic announced that Anthony will return depending how he responds to rehab and treatment.
  • Paolo Banchero (Magic): Banchero is expected to miss another 7-10 days, according to Khobi Price of the Orlando Sentinel.
  • Markelle Fultz (Magic): The Magic announced that Fultz suffered a fracture and no surgery is required.
  • Moritz Wagner (Magic): Wagner has not played this season and no timetable has been announced for his return.

Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends

The Magic are shooting 43% (3,210/7,483) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Magic are shooting 43% (6,411/14,735) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Magic have averaged 1.18 points per shot (17,452 points/14,735 shots) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Magic have averaged 1.17 points per shot (8,563 points/7,317 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.25

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 14.9 assists per game (179 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Pacers have made 15.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.2

The Pacers have averaged 59.3 points per game (712 points/12 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.8

The Pacers averaged 115.3 points per game (8,302 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends

The Magic have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (473 rebounds/13 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Magic have averaged 6.6 steals per game (629 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Magic have averaged 5.8 steals per game (75 steals/13 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Magic have averaged 6.5 steals per game (305 steals/47 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (996 blocks/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (489 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (507 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pacers have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (79 blocks/12 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0


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