Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 28, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Magic (13-22) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Pistons (8-28)
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Wednesday, December 28, 2022 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSDET & BSFL

The Orlando Magic visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Detroit.

The Magic are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Magic vs Pistons Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Magic are 19-14 against the spread, while the Pistons are 16-17 against the spread.


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Magic vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orlando Magic-1.5 -105O 229.5 -105-115
Detroit Pistons +1.5 -115U 229.5 -105-105

Pistons vs Magic Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Magic will win Wednesday‘s game with 51.7% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Magic and Pistons, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Orlando Magic have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+18.65 Units / 156% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 27 games (+14.58 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 27 games (+13.15 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 55 games (+10.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 81 games (+9.84 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 58 games (+22.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 64 games (+22.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 55 of their last 85 games (+21.21 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 75 games (+19.26 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+14.09 Units / 29% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 19-14 (+3.6 Units / 9.35% ROI).

  • 13-22 against the Moneyline (+10.2 Units / 26.7% ROI)
  • 19-16 against the Over for game total points (+1.4 Units / 3.64% ROI)
  • 16-19 against the Under for game total points (-4.9 Units / -12.73% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 16-17 (-2.7 Units / -6.82% ROI).

  • 8-28 against the Moneyline (-7.15 Units / -19.48% ROI)
  • 21-15 against the Over for game total points (+4.5 Units / 11.36% ROI)
  • 15-21 against the Under for game total points (-8.1 Units / -20.45% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 77 games (-29.11 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 69 games (-26.77 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 43 games at home (-18.45 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 69 games (-16.27 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 71 games (-15.49 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 81 games (-21.72 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 77 games (-21.69 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 48 games (-19.41 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 83 games (-16.45 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 77 games (-16.20 Units / -19% ROI)

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Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Magic are 10-38 (.208) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Magic are 1-25 (.038) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .198

The Magic are 13-25 (.342) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Magic are 9-32 (.220) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .427

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic

The Pistons are 18-63 (.222) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Pistons are 2-25 (.074) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Pistons are 1-14 (.067) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .312

The Pistons are 3-14 (.167) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

Injury Report: Pistons vs. MagicWednesday‘s Game, Dec. 28

  • Cade Cunningham (Pistons): According the Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN, Cunningham is expected to have season-ending surgery on his left shin.
  • Marvin Bagley III (Pistons): Bagley III is out for Wednesday’s (Dec 28) game against Orlando.
  • Isaiah Livers (Pistons): Livers will be re-evaluated in 2-3 weeks, according to Mike Curtis of The Detroit News.
  • Jonathan Isaac (Magic): Isaac has yet to play in the preseason as he recovers from knee and leg injuries.
  • Chuma Okeke (Magic): Okeke underwent an arthroscopic procedure on his knee and is expected to be out at least a month, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Jalen Suggs (Magic): Suggs hasn’t played since Nov. 25 and no timetable for his return has been announced.

Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends

The Magic are shooting 43% (3,210/7,483) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Magic are shooting 43% (6,411/14,735) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Magic have averaged 1.18 points per shot (17,452 points/14,735 shots) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Magic have averaged 1.17 points per shot (8,563 points/7,317 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.25

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons are shooting 43% (526/1,232) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons have an eFG% of 49% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Pistons have a TS% of 47% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Pistons are shooting 33% from three (1,035/3,150) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends

The Magic have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (473 rebounds/13 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Magic have averaged 6.6 steals per game (629 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Magic have averaged 5.8 steals per game (75 steals/13 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Magic have averaged 6.5 steals per game (305 steals/47 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,300 rebounds/165 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Pistons have averaged 31.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,943 rebounds/93 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Pistons have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (56 blocks/14 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Pistons have averaged 6.2 steals per game (87 steals/14 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.