Magic vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 3

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  • The Pistons are -8.5 favorites vs. the Magic
  • Total (Over/Under): 201.5 points
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Orlando Magic visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm in Detroit, MI.

The Pistons are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Magic vs Pistons Over/Under is 201.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Magic are 42-47 against the spread, while the Pistons are 46-42 against the spread.


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Magic vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orlando Magic+8.5 -110O 201.5 -105+260
Detroit Pistons -8.5 -110U 201.5 -115-325

Pistons vs Magic Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Magic and Pistons.

Pistons vs Magic Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Magic will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+11.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.76 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 away games (+11.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+10.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+12.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 26 of their last 35 games (+11.17 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.09 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.85 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 31% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 42-47 (-9.75 Units / -9.84% ROI).

  • 49-41 against the Moneyline (-11.35 Units / -5.48% ROI)
  • 47-43 against the Over for game total points (-0.3 Units / -0.3% ROI)
  • 43-47 against the Under for game total points (-8.7 Units / -8.79% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 46-42 (-0.15 Units / -0.16% ROI).

  • 63-25 against the Moneyline (+10 Units / 3.2% ROI)
  • 41-46 against the Over for game total points (-9.6 Units / -9.92% ROI)
  • 46-41 against the Under for game total points (+0.9 Units / 0.93% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-15.95 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.84 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 25 games (-12.60 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.40 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (-12.00 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 35 away games (-16.43 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 away games (-16.30 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 23 games (-13.56 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 35 away games (-12.40 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 40 away games (-11.70 Units / -25% ROI)

Jump to:

Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Magic are 23-8 (.742) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Magic are undefeated (11-0) when their eFG is 60% or better this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .856

The Magic are 29-2 (.935) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .843

The Magic are 42-13 (.764) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .696

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic

The Pistons are 5-1 (.833) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The Pistons are 18-5 (.783) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .624

The Pistons are 20-2 (.909) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .787

The Pistons are 57-20 (.740) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends

The Magic are shooting 34% from three (2,785/8,260) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Magic have a 29% free throw rate (6,143 free throw attempts/21,243 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

The Magic have 27.5 free throw attempts per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Magic are shooting 33% from three (1,882/5,692) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 30.8 points in the paint per game (2,498 points/81 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

The Pistons have averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (4,702 points/81 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Pistons have made 11.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Pistons have a TS% of 46% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends

The Magic have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (8,394 rebounds/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Magic have allowed 12.4 second chance points per game (3,041 points/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3

The Magic have averaged 5.3 blocks per game (1,296 blocks/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Magic have blocked 1,296 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th most among NBA teams

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (517 blocks/81 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pistons have averaged 10.4 steals per game (842 steals/81 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pistons have blocked 517 shots this season — most among NBA teams

The Pistons have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (1,333 blocks/245 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.